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Opinion

The State of the Republic at 65: A Reflection

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By Bola Abimbola

Nigeria celebrates its 65th Independence Anniversary today, October 1, 2025. After 65 years of prayers, promises, and proclamations, we must face a harsh truth: we have achieved far less than we should have, and prayer alone won’t bring us change. The Prayer Excuse Has Fallen Short. For 65 years, Nigerians have prayed more than almost any other people on earth. We have more churches and mosques per person than hospitals and schools. Every street corner hosts a prayer house. Yet after 65 years of fervent prayer:

Our road infrastructure is 80% in poor condition
Our national electricity grid collapsed 12 times in 2024 alone
Our currency has been devalued repeatedly
Millions of our best minds have fled abroad
Youth unemployment has reached crisis levels
Insecurity has made entire regions ungovernable
This isn’t a spiritual issue. It’s a leadership, accountability, and systems issue.

Yes, “with God all things are possible.” But God does not award contracts, prosecute corrupt officials, maintain power grids, or build roads. People do. And for 65 years, we have preferred prayer over action, excuses over accountability.

The Dangote Refinery: A Private Success Story Amid Public Failure

After 65 years of independence, Nigeria has finally built a functional refinery, but it was constructed by a private individual, not the government. The Dangote Refinery began producing diesel and aviation fuel in January 2024, with gasoline sales starting in September.

This $19 billion private investment succeeded where the Nigerian government had failed for decades. When fully operational, the refinery can process about 650,000 barrels of crude oil per day, making it the largest single-train refinery in the world.

Even this achievement is bittersweet. The refinery has struggled to secure steady crude oil supplies from Nigerian sources and has had to import oil from the United States, a clear reminder of its failure to manage its own resources after 65 years.

What Is Happening to Our National Institutions?

Let’s document the demise of our national dreams:

Nigeria Airways (1958-2003): Established in 1958, Nigeria Airways was liquidated in 2003 after accumulating debts of $528 million. The airline struggled with mismanagement, corruption, and overstaffing; at the time of its closure, it operated only one aircraft on domestic routes. What once symbolized Nigerian independence ultimately became a symbol of failure, representing billions of wasted resources and causing significant harm to the nation’s morale.

Nigerian National Shipping Line (1959-1995): The NNSL was liquidated in September 1995 after several of the company’s vessels were seized in different parts of the world for alleged breach of contract and unpaid bills. By 1979, the company operated 24 oceangoing ships. However, a 1987 World Bank study found that the investment had not significantly contributed to GDP, employment, the balance of payments, or national security; the gains were less than the opportunity costs of the resources used.

At independence in 1960, Nigeria inherited a fleet of ships ready to support its growing economy. However, 64 years later, no Nigerian shipping company owns a single vessel among the more than 5,000 ships that visit Nigerian ports each year. These foreign-owned ships benefit their nations, while we export oil and gas without participating in the transportation process.

Ajaokuta Steel Company (1979-Present): Established in 1979 on a 24,000-hectare site, the Ajaokuta Steel Company is Nigeria’s largest steel mill. However, the project was poorly managed and remains unfinished after 40 years, having never produced a single sheet of steel by December 2017.

Between 2016 and 2024, Ajaokuta Steel received a budget allocation of ₦42.03 billion, despite its dilapidated condition, with 80.87% of the funds spent on personnel costs. We have been paying salaries for over 40 years to workers at a plant that has never produced anything.

Even Aliko Dangote has stated that the long-delayed Ajaokuta Steel Complex might never become operational.

NITEL – Nigerian Telecommunications (1985-2009): NITEL was established in 1985 as a result of the merger of telecommunications services to improve coordination within the country. Starting in 2001, the company experienced a series of failed sales and divestments.

Between April 2003 and March 2004, under Pentascope management, NITEL incurred a loss of ₦15 billion and recorded a further loss of ₦19.15 billion, while the number of working lines decreased from 553,471 to 291,000. The sale to Transcorp was revoked in 2009 after years of mismanagement and fraud.

NNPC – Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation: The Nigerian National Petroleum Company, once Nigeria’s prized asset and self-proclaimed largest national oil company in Africa, has been plagued by inefficiency, corruption, and declining investments, and has been unable to fulfill its obligations.

In 2014, then-Central Bank Governor Lamido Sanusi made headlines worldwide when he told parliamentarians that $20 billion in oil sales earnings had gone “missing” in just 19 months, and he was dismissed shortly afterward. In August 2015, an independent analysis uncovered that over $32 billion in oil revenue was lost due to NNPC’s mismanagement of Domestic Crude Allocation, opaque revenue retention practices, and corruption-ridden oil-for-product swap deals.

As of July 2025, the Senate Committee on Public Accounts revealed allegations of ₦3.3 trillion in unremitted revenue and contract racketeering involving top NNPCL officials.

Sixty-five years after independence, the institution that manages our primary source of wealth remains a haven of corruption and mismanagement.

NEPA/Power Sector: The national electricity grid failed 12 times in 2024. Sixty-five years after gaining independence, Nigeria continues to struggle to provide reliable power. Nigeria produces around 12,000 MW of electricity but can only transmit about 4,000 to 5,000 MW due to grid inefficiencies.

Our Football Clubs – The Death of National Pride:

Even our sports, once a symbol of national joy and unity, have been ruined by the same pattern: mismanagement, corruption, and neglect.

IICC Shooting Stars of Ibadan: Shooting Stars won the African Cup Winners’ Cup in 1976, becoming the first Nigerian club to secure an international trophy. They are one of Nigeria’s most decorated clubs, alongside Enyimba, Enugu Rangers, and the now-defunct Stationery Stores, although they haven’t won any major trophies since 1998.

After the Nigerian Football Association introduced a double-league format, Shooting Stars was relegated to the lower division in 2006 but earned promotion in 2009. A club that once brought pride to Nigeria in Africa now struggles to stay afloat domestically.

Enugu Rangers International FC: Rangers International, founded in 1970, is the only Nigerian club never to have been relegated from the top division. They won their sixth title in 1984 but did not reach another cup final in the 1990s, and their highest league finish was third place in 1998.

Like most clubs in Nigeria, Rangers is owned by the state government, and for the past three decades, the club’s management has had to operate on a shoestring budget that makes other organizations seem lavish. After a 32-year title drought, they finally won the 2016 Nigeria Premier League, their first championship since 1982, and repeated the feat in 2024.

But even this success occurred despite state government neglect, not because of support. During their 2016 title run, Rangers’ players were owed wages and match allowances.

Port Harcourt Sharks FC: Sharks were nearly relocated to Abeokuta in 1998 due to crowd issues. In protest, they missed the last six games of the 1998 Professional League, finished at the bottom with 32 points, and were suspended for two years. In 2016, Sharks FC merged with Dolphins FC to form Rivers United FC, a merger driven not by strength but by financial difficulties.

These clubs, which once made Nigeria proud by producing legends like Rashidi Yekini, Segun Odegbami, and Christian Chukwu, have been reduced to shadows of their former glory. State governments that own them provide barely enough funding to survive, let alone compete internationally.

Our Universities: From “Africa’s Most Beautiful” to Decay

Obafemi Awolowo University (formerly University of Ife):

Obafemi Awolowo University was founded in 1961, and classes commenced in October 1962 as the University of Ife, established by the regional government of Western Nigeria. Designed by Israeli architect Arieh Sharon, the campus includes buildings constructed between 1963 and 1980, recognized as part of the Bauhaus international heritage and as one of the most iconic examples of modernist campus architecture in Africa.

The campus was once celebrated as “Africa’s Most Beautiful Campus,” and it remains an architectural marvel. But beyond the beautiful facade lies a harsh reality of neglect.

Behind the respected image of Africa’s Most Beautiful Campus lies a troubling truth: students face daily struggles with unhygienic and poorly maintained restrooms across the campus, particularly in male hostels such as Adekunle Fajuyi Hall, Awolowo Hall, and Angola Hall. Students complain about foul odors, broken fixtures, poor lighting, and, most importantly, a lack of water supply to flush waste, which leads to discomfort and serious health hazards.

The Students’ Union Building, once praised as a modern facility after its 2022 renovation, has now fallen into disrepair, with both toilets closed due to neglect.

Due to inadequate government funding and deteriorating infrastructure, OAU established a ₦1 billion Advancement Foundation in 2021 to explore alternative sources of funding, underscoring the decline of federal universities, which now rely on private donations to maintain basic facilities.

University of Ibadan and Teaching Hospitals:

The University of Ibadan and its teaching hospital, University College Hospital, were once the pride of West Africa. Established in 1952 to train medical personnel for Nigeria and the West African sub-region, the hospital originally had 500 beds. Today, it has expanded to 1,000 beds.

However, our universities and teaching hospitals fall far short of their potential. Talented Nigerian doctors and researchers leave in large numbers for the UK, US, and Canada because we lack basic research equipment, competitive salaries, and functional systems.

The irony? Nigerian leaders travel abroad for medical care in hospitals staffed by Nigerian doctors who left because we didn’t build world-class institutions at home.

The Education Crisis: We’ve Run Everything Down

In the 1970s and 1980s, almost everyone attended government schools. They were the pride of the nation, well-funded, adequately staffed, with quality infrastructure. Government schools produced Nigeria’s top talents. But 65 years after independence, we have systematically destroyed public education.

The Collapse of Government Schools:

The Nigerian government allocates only about 7% of the national budget to education, which is well below the UNESCO recommended minimum of 26%. Most public schools lack basic infrastructure, such as laboratories, libraries, electricity, and quality learning environments, with existing infrastructure in terrible condition or below acceptable standards.

In some public schools, there is a lack of proper sanitary facilities; therefore, the ‘bush’ is used as a substitute. It is common for government school classes to have over 60 students, well above the recommended number, with only one teacher assigned to them.

Many schools lack basic amenities such as classrooms, desks, libraries, and labs. In rural and conflict-affected areas, students learn under trees or in run-down classrooms without chairs, textbooks, or teachers.

The Flight to Private Schools:

Disappointed with government-funded education, even poor Nigerian families are increasingly turning to private schools, with many resourceful individuals transforming dilapidated or unfinished buildings into affordable private schools.

The decline of public institutions has created a market opportunity for private education. Private schools can cost as much as $3,000 per term. Today, most parents, except those without the means, choose private schools because of the higher quality and service they offer.

In many states, government officials send their children abroad or to expensive private schools while neglecting public education. The same politicians who dismantled government schools send their own children to private schools or abroad, and their actions are the ultimate hypocrisy.

Nigeria now has approximately 13 million out-of-school children, accounting for 20% of the global out-of-school children population.

Consider this: A generation ago, government schools were excellent and accessible to all. Today, Nigerians find it hard to afford private schools because we’ve ruined government schools through corruption, underfunding, and intentional neglect.

Roads and Infrastructure:

Currently, 80% of Nigeria’s road network is in poor shape, hindered by a lack of funding and the effects of climate change. Covering a land area of 923,768 square kilometers and a population of over 220 million, Nigeria has about 200,000 km of roads, with 63% unpaved and most in poor condition.

A report ranked Nigeria as having the sixth-worst road infrastructure in Africa. We performed better than only Rwanda, Guinea, Burundi, Madagascar, and The Gambia.

What Others Achieved in Less Time:

While we prayed and made excuses, others took action.

Singapore (Independent 1965 – 60 years ago):

GDP per capita: $72,000+ (Nigeria: ~$2,000)
Zero tolerance for corruption; leaders are prosecuted and jailed.
World-class infrastructure, education, and healthcare
Universal access to quality public education.
Built on discipline, planning, and strict accountability
South Korea (Post-war 1953 – 72 years ago):

Rose from ashes to emerge as a technological powerhouse.
Global leader in electronics, automobiles, and entertainment.
Leaders who stole were prosecuted, with several former presidents imprisoned.
Made significant investments in education, research, and development (R&D).
Free, top-tier public education system
Malaysia (Independent 1957 – 68 years ago):

A diversified economy beyond just natural resources
Robust public education system
Consistent governance and strategic long-term planning
United Arab Emirates (Formed 1971 – 54 years ago):

Converted the desert into a worldwide business center
Top-tier public and private schools
Economic diversification despite oil wealth
What did these nations possess that we do not?

Not prayer houses. Not oil wealth (most had less than us). Not natural resources.

They had:

Accountability: Corrupt leaders truly faced consequences
Meritocracy: Competence outweighs tribe or religion
Investment in public services: Quality schools, hospitals, and roads for all citizens.
Long-term planning: 20-50 year development visions, carried out consistently.
Rule of law: Systems greater than individuals
Zero tolerance for mediocrity: Standards enforced strictly
The Bitter Truth About Our Choices:

For 65 years, we have:

Celebrated wealth without examining its origins
Voted based on tribe and religion rather than competence
Permitted corrupt politicians to steal and then gave them chieftaincy titles.
Undermined public institutions that served everyone and established a two-tier system where only the wealthy can afford quality services.
Refused to prosecute the powerful.
Accepting mediocrity for ethnic solidarity
Prayed instead of took action
We had over $400 billion in oil revenue over 65 years. Where is it? In Swiss bank accounts. In Dubai real estate. In London properties. Anywhere but in Nigerian infrastructure, education, or healthcare.

We Have No Other Country, So We Must Confront Reality

Yes, America, France, and China experienced corruption. In the 18th and 19th centuries, they prosecuted robber barons, broke up monopolies, reformed institutions, and advanced their progress.

Nigeria in 2025 isn’t competing with 19th-century Europe. We’re competing with 21st-century China, India, Vietnam, Rwanda, and Ethiopia, nations that are advancing while we debate whether our problems are spiritual.

What Nigeria Needs at 65:

Accountability, not prayer points: Prosecute corrupt officials, recover stolen funds, and set examples that scare future looters.
Meritocracy over tribe: Stop voting for incapable people just because they’re “one of us.” Prioritize competence first.
Rebuild public institutions: Properly fund government schools, universities, and hospitals. Restore their excellence so all Nigerians can access quality services.
Education revolution: Raise the education budget to at least 20% of the national budget. Renovate schools. Pay teachers adequately. Improve infrastructure.
Consequences for failure: Singapore sometimes executes corrupt officials, yet we give them national honors. Which approach works?
Economic diversification: We continue to depend on oil after 65 years. Our agricultural sector, once the backbone of our economy, has collapsed.
The Final Reflection:

At 65, Nigeria is not a young country discovering itself. We are a failed state making excuses.

Our parents and grandparents attended excellent government schools. Today, we resort to begging, borrowing, and stealing to send our children to private schools because we have destroyed what was built for us.

Obafemi Awolowo University was once Africa’s most beautiful campus with world-class facilities. Today, students cannot flush toilets.

NNPC was supposed to make us wealthy. Instead, $20 billion disappears and no one faces jail.

Prayer gave us hope. But hope without action is empty. God will not come down from heaven to fix NEPA, prosecute corrupt governors, rebuild schools, revive Ajaokuta Steel, start a new shipping line, restore our football clubs, or repair roads. We have to do it ourselves.

After 65 years of prayer resulting in corruption, poverty, and decay, perhaps it’s time to try:

Taking action instead of just praying
Accountability Instead of excuses
Merit rather than sentiment
Systems over strongmen
Prosecution versus protection
Investment in public services rather than private enrichment
Countries younger than us have surpassed us multiple times. Not because God favors them more, but because they prioritize accountability over prayer meetings, action over excuses, and nation-building over nation-looting.

Happy 65th Independence Day, Nigeria.

We deserve more than this. And change starts by facing the truth: Our problems are not spiritual. They’re structural, systemic, and self-inflicted. Only we can fix them, not through prayer, but through accountability, action, and the courage to demand better.

The choice is ours. Another 65 years of excuses and prayers? Or, finally, building the Nigeria we should have been all along, where government schools function effectively, universities thrive, hospitals provide quality care, and every citizen has access to quality services, regardless of their wealth.

Our parents built it. We tore it down. Will we rebuild it for our children? Or will we continue to pray as everything falls apart?

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Opinion

Reimagining the African Leadership Paradigm: A Comprehensive Blueprint

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By Tolulope A. Adegoke, PhD

“To lead Africa forward is to move from transactional authority to transformational stewardship—where institutions outlive individuals, data informs vision, and service is the only valid currency of governance” – Tolulope A. Adegoke, PhD

The narrative of African leadership in the 21st century stands at a critical intersection of profound potential and persistent paradox. The continent, pulsating with the world’s youngest demographic and endowed with immense natural wealth, nonetheless contends with systemic challenges that stifle its ascent. This divergence between capacity and outcome signals not merely a failure of policy, but a deeper crisis of leadership philosophy and practice. As the global order undergoes seismic shifts, the imperative for African nations to fundamentally re-strategize their approach to governance has transitioned from an intellectual exercise to an existential necessity. Nigeria, by virtue of its demographic heft, economic scale, and cultural influence, serves as the continent’s most significant crucible for this transformation. The journey of Nigerian leadership from its current state to its potential apex offers a blueprint not only for its own 200 million citizens but for an entire continent in search of a new compass.

Deconstructing the Legacy Model: A Diagnosis of Systemic Failure

To construct a resilient future, we must first undertake an unflinching diagnosis of the present. The prevailing leadership archetype across much of Africa, with clear manifestations in Nigeria’s political economy, is built upon a foundation that has proven tragically unfit for purpose. This model is characterized by several interlocking dysfunctions:

·         The Primacy of Transactional Politics Over Transformational Vision: Governance has too often been reduced to a complex system of transactions—votes exchanged for short-term patronage, positions awarded for loyalty over competence, and resource allocation serving political expediency rather than national strategy. This erodes public trust and makes long-term, cohesive planning impossible.

·         The Tyranny of the Short-Term Electoral Cycle: Leadership decisions are frequently held hostage to the next election, sacrificing strategic investments in education, infrastructure, and industrialization on the altar of immediate, visible—yet fleeting—gains. This creates a perpetual cycle of reactive governance, preventing the execution of decade-spanning national projects.

·         Administrative Silos and Bureaucratic Inertia: Government ministries and agencies often operate as isolated fiefdoms, with limited inter-departmental collaboration. This siloed approach fragments policy implementation, leads to contradictory initiatives, and renders the state apparatus inefficient and unresponsive to complex, cross-sectoral challenges like climate change, public health, and national security.

·         The Demographic Disconnect: Africa’s most potent asset is its youth. Yet, a vast governance gap separates a dynamic, digitally-native, and globally-aware generation from political structures that remain opaque, paternalistic, and slow to adapt. This disconnect fuels alienation, brain drain, and social unrest.

·         The Weakness of Institutions and the Cult of Personality: When the strength of a state is vested in individuals rather than institutions, it creates systemic vulnerability. Independent judiciaries, professional civil services, and credible electoral commissions are weakened, leading to arbitrariness in the application of law, erosion of meritocracy, and a deep-seated crisis of public confidence.

The tangible outcomes of this flawed model are the headlines that define the continent’s challenges: infrastructure deficits that strangle commerce, public education and healthcare systems in states of distress, jobless economic growth, multifaceted security threats, and the chronic hemorrhage of human capital. To re-strategize leadership is to directly address these outputs by redesigning the very system that produces them.

Pillars of a Reformed Leadership Architecture: A Holistic Framework

The new leadership paradigm must be constructed not as a minor adjustment, but as a holistic architectural endeavor. It requires foundational pillars that are interdependent, mutually reinforcing, and built to endure beyond political transitions.

1. The Philosophical Core: Embracing Servant-Leadership and Ethical Stewardship
The most profound change must be internal—a recalibration of the leader’s fundamental purpose. The concept of the leader as a benevolent “strongman” must give way to the model of the servant-leader. This philosophy, rooted in both timeless African communal values (ubuntu) and modern ethical governance, posits that the true leader exists to serve the people, not vice versa. It is characterized by deep empathy, radical accountability, active listening, and a commitment to empowering others. Success is measured not by the leader’s personal accumulation of power or wealth, but by the tangible flourishing, security, and expanded opportunities of the citizenry. This ethos fosters trust, the essential currency of effective governance.

2. Strategic Foresight and Evidence-Based Governance
Leadership must be an exercise in building the future, not just administering the present. This requires the collaborative development of a clear, compelling, and inclusive national vision—a strategic narrative that aligns the energies of government, private sector, and civil society. For Nigeria, frameworks like Nigeria’s Agenda 2050 and the National Development Plan must be de-politicized and treated as binding national covenants. Furthermore, in the age of big data, governance must transition from intuition-driven to evidence-based. This necessitates significant investment in data collection, analytics, and policy-informing research. Whether designing social safety nets, deploying security resources, or planning agricultural subsidies, decisions must be illuminated by rigorous data, ensuring efficiency, transparency, and measurable impact.

3. Institutional Fortification: Building the Enduring Pillars of State
A nation’s longevity and stability are directly proportional to the strength and independence of its institutions. Re-strategizing leadership demands an unwavering commitment to institutional architecture:

·         An Impervious Judiciary: The rule of law must be absolute, with a judicial system insulated from political and financial influence, guaranteeing justice for the powerful and the marginalized alike.

·         Electoral Integrity as Sacred Trust: Democratic legitimacy springs from credible elections. Investing in independent electoral commissions, transparent technology, and robust legal frameworks is non-negotiable for political stability.

·         A Re-professionalized Civil Service: The bureaucracy must be transformed into a merit-driven, technologically adept, and well-remunerated engine of state, shielded from the spoils system and empowered to implement policy effectively.

·         Robust, Transparent Accountability Ecosystems: Anti-corruption agencies require genuine operational independence, adequate funding, and protection. Complementing this, transparent public procurement platforms and mandatory asset declarations for public officials must become normalized practice.

4. Collaborative and Distributed Leadership: The Power of the Collective
The monolithic state cannot solve wicked problems alone. The modern leader must be a convener-in-chief, architecting platforms for sustained collaboration. This involves actively fostering a triple-helix partnership:

·         The Public Sector sets the vision, regulates, and provides enabling infrastructure.

·         The Private Sector drives investment, innovation, scale, and job creation.

·         Academia and Civil Society contribute research, grassroots intelligence, independent oversight, and specialized implementation capacity.
This model distributes responsibility, leverages diverse expertise, and fosters innovative solutions—from public-private partnerships in infrastructure to tech-driven civic engagement platforms.

5. Human Capital Supremacy: The Ultimate Strategic Investment
A nation’s most valuable asset walks on two feet. Re-strategized leadership places a supreme, non-negotiable priority on developing human potential. For Nigeria and Africa, this demands a generational project:

·         Revolutionizing Education: Curricula must be overhauled to foster critical thinking, digital literacy, STEM proficiency, and entrepreneurial mindset—skills for the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Investment in teacher training and educational infrastructure is paramount.

·         Building a Preventive, Resilient Health System: Focus must shift from curative care in central hospitals to robust, accessible primary healthcare. A healthy population is a productive population, forming the basis of economic resilience.

·         Creating an Enabling Environment for Talent: Beyond education and health, leadership must provide the ecosystem where talent can thrive: reliable electricity, ubiquitous broadband, access to venture capital, and a regulatory environment that encourages innovation and protects intellectual property. The goal is to make the domestic environment more attractive than the diaspora for the continent’s best minds.

6. Assertive, Strategic Engagement in Global Affairs
African leadership must shed any vestiges of a supplicant mentality and adopt a posture of strategic agency. This means actively shaping continental and global agendas:

·         Leveraging the AfCFTA: Moving beyond signing agreements to actively dismantling non-tariff barriers, harmonizing standards, and investing in cross-border infrastructure to turn the agreement into a real engine of intra-African trade and industrialization.

·         Diplomacy for Value Creation: Foreign policy should be strategically deployed to attract sustainable foreign direct investment, secure technology transfer agreements, and build partnerships based on mutual benefit, not aid dependency.

·         Advocacy for Structural Reform: African leaders must collectively and persistently advocate for reforms in global financial institutions and multilateral forums to ensure a more equitable international system.

The Nigerian Imperative: From National Challenges to a National Charter

Applying this framework to Nigeria requires translating universal principles into specific, context-driven actions:

·         Integrated Security as a Foundational Priority: Security strategy must be comprehensive, blending advanced intelligence capabilities, professionalized security forces, with parallel investments in community policing, youth employment programs in high-risk areas, and accelerated development to address the root causes of instability.

·         A Determined Pursuit of Economic Complexity: Leadership must orchestrate a decisive shift from rent-seeking in the oil sector to value creation across diversified sectors: commercialized agriculture, light and advanced manufacturing, a thriving creative industry, and a dominant digital services sector.

·         Constitutional and Governance Re-engineering: To harness its diversity, Nigeria requires a sincere national conversation on restructuring. This likely entails moving towards a more authentic federalism with greater fiscal autonomy for states, devolution of powers, and mechanisms that ensure equitable resource distribution and inclusive political representation.

·         Pioneering a Just Energy Transition: Nigeria must craft a unique energy pathway—strategically utilizing its gas resources for domestic industrialization and power generation, while simultaneously positioning itself as a regional hub for renewable energy technology, investment, and innovation.

Conclusion: A Collective Endeavor of Audacious Hope

Re-strategizing leadership in Africa and in Nigeria is not an event, but a generational process. It is not the abandonment of culture but its evolution—melding the deep African traditions of community, consensus, and elder wisdom with the modern imperatives of transparency, innovation, and individual rights. This task extends far beyond the political class. It is a summons to a new generation of leaders in every sphere: the tech entrepreneur in Yaba, the reform-minded civil servant in Abuja, the agri-preneur in Kebbi, the investigative journalist in Lagos, and the community activist in the Niger Delta.

Ultimately, this is an endeavor of audacious hope. It is the conscious choice to build systems stronger than individuals, institutions more enduring than terms of office, and a national identity richer than our ethnic sum. Nigeria possesses all the requisite raw materials for greatness: human brilliance, cultural richness, and natural bounty. The final, indispensable ingredient is a leadership strategy worthy of its people. The blueprint is now detailed; the call to action is urgent. The future awaits not our complaints, but our constructive and courageous labor. Let the work begin in earnest.

Dr. Tolulope A. Adegoke is a globally recognized scholar-practitioner and thought leader at the nexus of security, governance, and strategic leadership. His work addresses complex institutional challenges, with a specialized focus on West African security dynamics, conflict resolution, and sustainable development.

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Opinion

Rivers State: Two Monkeys Burn the Village to Prove They Are Loyal to Jagaban

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By Sly Edaghese

Teaser

Rivers State is not collapsing by accident. It is being offered as a sacrifice. Two men, driven by fear of irrelevance and hunger for protection, have chosen spectacle over stewardship—setting fire to a whole people’s future just to prove who kneels better before power.

There comes a point when a political tragedy degenerates into farce, and the farce mutates into a curse. Rivers State has crossed that point. What is unfolding there is not governance, not even conflict—it is ritual madness, a grotesque contest in which two men are willing to burn an entire state just to be noticed by one man sitting far away in Abuja.

This is not ambition.

This is desperation wearing designer jacket.

At the center of this inferno stand two performers who have mistaken power for immortality and loyalty for slavery. One is a former god. The other is a former servant. Both are now reduced to naked dancers in a marketplace, grinding their teeth and tearing flesh to entertain Jagaban.

The first is Nyesom Wike—once feared, once untouchable, now frantic. A man whose political identity has collapsed into noise, threats, and recycled bravado. His ministerial appointment was never a validation of statesmanship; it was a severance package for betrayal. Tinubu did not elevate Wike because he admired him—he tolerated him because he was useful. And usefulness, in politics, is key, but it has an expiry date.

Wike governed Rivers State not as a public trust but as a private estate. He did not build institutions; he built dependencies. He did not groom leaders; he bred loyalists. Before leaving office, he salted the land with his men—lawmakers, commissioners, council chairmen—so that even in absence, Rivers State would still answer to his shadow. His obsession was simple and sick: if I cannot rule it, no one else must.

Enter Siminalayi Fubara—a man selected, not tested; installed, not trusted by the people but trusted by his maker. Fubara was meant to be an invisible power in a visible office—a breathing signature, a ceremonial governor whose only real duty was obedience.

But power has a way of awakening even the most timid occupant.

Fubara wanted to act like a governor. That single desire triggered a full-scale political assassination attempt—not with bullets, but with institutions twisted into weapons. A state of emergency was declared with obscene haste. The governor was suspended like a naughty schoolboy. His budget was butchered. His local government elections were annulled and replaced with a pre-arranged outcome favorable to his tormentor. Lawmakers who defected and lost their seats by constitutional law were resurrected like political zombies and crowned legitimate.

This was not law.

This was organized humiliation.

And when degradation alone failed, Wike went further—dragging Fubara into a room to sign an agreement that belonged more to a slave plantation than a democratic republic.

One clause alone exposed the rot:
👉 Fubara must never seek a second term.

In plain language: you may warm the chair, but you will never own it.

Then came the most revealing act of all—Wike leaked the agreement himself. A man so intoxicated by dominance that he thought publicizing oppression would strengthen his grip.

That leak was not strategy; it was confession. It told Nigerians that this was never about peace, order, or party discipline—it was about absolute control over another human being.

But history has a cruel sense of humor.

While Wike strutted like a victorious warlord and his loyal lawmakers sharpened new knives, Fubara did something dangerous: he adapted. He studied power where it truly resides. He learned Tinubu’s language—the language of survival, alignment, and betrayal without apology. Then he did what Nigerian politics rewards most:

He crossed over.

Not quietly. Not shamefully. But theatrically. He defected to the APC, raised a party card numbered 001 and crowned himself leader of the party in Rivers State. He pledged to deliver the same Rivers people to Tinubu just as Wike also has pledged.

That moment was not boldness.

It was cold-blooded realism.

And in one stroke, Wike’s myth collapsed.

The once-feared enforcer became a shouting relic—touring local governments like a prophet nobody believes anymore, issuing warnings that land on deaf ears, reminding Nigerians of favors that no longer matter. He threatened APC officials, cursed betrayal, and swore eternal vengeance. But vengeance without access is just noise.

Today, the humiliation is complete.

Fubara enters rooms Wike waits outside.

Presidential aides shake hands with the new alignment.

The old king rants in press conferences, sounding increasingly like a man arguing with a locked door.

And yet, the darkest truth remains: neither of these men cares about Rivers State.

One is fighting to remain relevant.

The other is fighting to remain protected.

The people—the markets, the schools, the roads, the civil servants—are expendable extras in a drama scripted far above their heads.

Some say Tinubu designed this blood sport—unable to discard Wike outright, he simply unleashed his creation against him. Whether genius or negligence, the effect is the same: Rivers State is being eaten alive by ambition.

This is what happens when politics loses shame.

This is what happens when loyalty replaces competence.

This is what happens when leaders treat states like bargaining chips and citizens like ashes.

Two monkeys are burning the village—not to save it, not to rule it—but to prove who can scream loudest while it burns.

And Jagaban watches, hands folded.

But when the fire dies down, when the music stops, when the applause fades, there will be nothing left to govern—only ruins, regret, and two exhausted dancers staring at the ashes, finally realizing that power does not clap forever.

Sly Edaghese sent in this piece from Wisconsin, USA.

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Opinion

What Will Be the End of Wike?

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By Pelumi Olajengbesi Esq.

Every student of politics should now be interested in what will be the end of Wike. Wike is one of those names that mean different things to different people within Nigeria’s political culture. To his admirers, he is courage and capacity, to his critics, he is disruption and excess, and to neutral observers like me, he is simply a fascinating case study in the mechanics of power.

In many ways, he was instrumental to the emergence of President Tinubu, and he has long sat like a lord over the politics of Rivers, having pushed aside nearly every person who once mattered in that space. He waged war against his party, the PDP, and drove it to the edge. Wike waged war against his successor and reduced him to submission. He fights anyone who stands in his way.

He is powerful, loved by many, and deeply irritating to many others. Yet for all his strength, one suspects that Wike does not enjoy peace of mind, because before he is done with one fight, another fight is already forming. From Rivers to Ibadan, Abuja to Imo, and across the country, he is the only right man in his own way. He is constantly in motion, constantly in battle, and constantly singing “agreement is agreement,” while forgetting that politics is merely negotiation and renegotiation.

To his credit, Wike may often be the smartest political planner in every room. He reads everybody’s next move and still creates a countermove. In that self image, Governor Fubara was meant to remain on a leash, manageable through pressure, inducement, and the suggestion that any disobedience would be framed as betrayal of the President and the new federal order.

But politics has a way of punishing anyone who believes control is permanent. The moment Fubara joined the APC, the battlefield shifted, and old tricks began to lose their edge. Whether by real alignment, perceived alignment, or even the mere possibility of a different alignment, once Fubara was no longer boxed into the corner Wike designed for him, Wike’s entire method required review. The fight may remain, but the terrain has changed. When terrain changes, power must either adapt or harden into miscalculation.

It is within this context that the gradually brewing crisis deserves careful attention, because what is emerging is not merely another loud exchange, but a visible clash with vital stakeholders within the Tinubu government and the wider ruling party environment. There is now a fixed showdown with the APC National Secretary, a man who is himself not allergic to confrontation, and who understands that a fight, if properly timed, can yield political advantage, institutional relevance, and bargaining power. When such a figure publicly demands that Nyesom Wike should resign as a minister in Tinubu’s cabinet, it is not a joke, It is about who is permitted to exercise influence, in what space, and on what terms. It is also about the anxiety that follows every coalition built on convenience rather than shared identity, because convenience has no constitution and gratitude is not a structure.

Wike embodies that anxiety in its most dramatic form. He is a man inside government, but not fully inside the party that controls government. He is a man whose usefulness to a winning project is undeniable, yet whose political style constantly reminds the winners that he is not naturally theirs. In every ruling party, there is a crucial difference between allies and stakeholders. Allies help you win, and stakeholders own the structure that decides who gets what after victory. Wike’s problem is that he has operated like both. His support for Tinubu, and his capacity to complicate the opposition’s arithmetic, gave him relevance at the centre. That relevance always tempts a man to behave like a co-owner.

Wike has built his political life on the logic of territorial command. He defines the space, polices the gate, punishes disloyalty, rewards submission, and keeps opponents permanently uncertain. That method is brutally effective when a man truly owns and controls the structure, because it produces fear, and fear produces compliance. This is why Wike insists on controlling the Rivers equation, even when that insistence conflicts with the preferences of the national centre.

The APC leadership is not reacting only to words. It is reacting to what the words represent. When a minister speaks as though a state chapter of the ruling party should be treated like a guest in that state’s politics, the party reads it as an attempt to subordinate its internal structure to an external will. Even where the party has tolerated Wike because of what he helped deliver, it cannot tolerate a situation where its own officials begin to look over their shoulders for permission from a man who is not formally one of them. Once a party believes its chain of command is being bypassed, it will choose institutional survival over interpersonal loyalty every time.

Wike’s predicament is the classic risk of power without full institutional belonging. Informal influence can be louder than formal power, but it is also more fragile because it depends on continuous tolerance from those who control formal instruments. These instruments include party hierarchy, candidate selection, and the legitimacy that comes with membership.

An outsider ally can be celebrated while he is useful, but the coalition that celebrates him can begin to step away the moment his methods create more cost than value. The cost is not only electoral, it can also be organisational. A ruling party approaching the next political cycle becomes sensitive to discipline, structure, and coherence. If the leadership suspects that one person’s shadow is creating factions, confusing loyalties, or humiliating party officials, it will attempt to cut that shadow down. It may not do so because it hates the person, but because it fears the disorder and the precedent.

So the question returns with greater urgency, what will be the end of Wike? If it comes, it may not come with fireworks. Strongmen often do not fall through one decisive attack. They are slowly redesigned out of relevance. The end can look like isolation, with quiet withdrawal of access, gradual loss of influence over appointments, and the emergence of new centres of power within the same territory he once treated as private estate. It can look like neutralisation, with Wike remaining in office, but watching the political value of the office drain because the presidency and the party no longer need his battles. It can look like forced realignment, with him compelled to fully submit to the ruling party structure, sacrificing the freedom of being an independent ally, or losing the cover that federal power provides.

Yet it is also possible that his story does not end in collapse, because Wike is not a novice. The same instinct that made him influential can also help him survive if he adapts. But adaptation would require a difficult shift. It would require a move from territorial warfare to coalition management. It would require a move from ruling by fear to ruling by accommodation. It would require a move from being merely feared to being structurally useful without becoming structurally threatening. Wike may be running out of time.

Pelumi Olajengbesi is a Legal Practitioner and Senior Partner at Law Corridor

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