Opinion
Opinion: Nigeria @ 58: What’s the Way Forward?
Published
7 years agoon
By
Eric
By Henry Ukazu
Fellow Nigerians and friends of Nigeria, this is an interesting time in our history, and each and every one of us should sit back and ask a serious questions on how far we have come as a country. On October 1, Nigeria will be celebrating her 58th Independence ceremony. A pertinent question of interest that comes to mind is, have well have we managed the independence that was given to us by the United Kingdom on October 1, 1960? Have we lived up to expectation or below expectation? Can we categorically say in all honesty we have justified our independence? In answering these questions, we shall be looking at the colonial period and post colonial period taking into consideration the leaders that governed Nigeria and current state of the country. We shall also be looking at various factors/institutions that constitute good governance: Leadership, judiciary, democratic dividends; electoral systems, health, corruption, heath, infrastructural development, unemployment, and security. Depending on who you are asking this questions, the answer can be positive, negative or indecisive as the case maybe.
In the first instance, it’s necessary to give a brief history about Nigerian Independence. Nigeria was colonized by Great Britain and the British used indirect system of Government to govern the entity. The system seem to have worked relatively well for the British because it helped the British to communicate to the citizens through their leaders in addition to being cheap. After much agitation for self-governance, the British government finally allowed Nigerians to have her independence on October 1, 1960. It’s worthy of note that the last British Governor-General of Nigeria, was Sir James Robertson. The independence ceremony ushered in many celebrations and Nigeria was able to take her rightful position in the comity of Nations.
As the popular Nigeria singer, Harry Song sang in one of his songs “after the reggae play the blues”. It soon dawned on Nigeria that the time has come for her to practice in addition to continuing all the legacies her colonial leaders established for her. It is worthy to mention some of the notable personalities that facilitated Nigeria independence: Chief Anthony Enahoro who moved the motion for Nigeria independence; Late Dr. Nnamdi Azikiwe, in charge of the Eastern region; late Sir Ahmadu Bello, who was in charge of the Northern region and late Chief Obafemi Awolowo who was in charge of the Western region. These great men were also part of the independence struggle. The post-independence era can be adjudged to be progressive because the crop of the leaders we had at the said time had nationalist mindsets as opposed to the contemporary leaders we have today, who think mostly about themselves and their close families and friends.
The post independence victory became pyrrhic after the leaders that fought for our independence left the scene. One of the main reasons that lead to this was failed leadership which resulted to coups and counter coups until Nigeria finally retuned to democracy on May 29, 1999.
Back to the topic and question of the day – Has Nigeria been able to live up to the expectations of their colonial leaders, and are her citizens satisfied with their leadership? Put a nutshell, are we better off now compared to pre I960 and post 1960 when the Nationalist leaders where at the helm of affairs? Personally, I will say Nigeria hasn’t done too well in terms of leadership, economy, security and infrastructural and development. Let’s examine this yardsticks:
Leadership: The hallmark of an effective leadership is to have followers who will carry on your vision. A true leader is a person who leaves a position of authority better than he/or she met it. With the crop of leaders we have now, one wonders if Nigeria is actually moving in the right direction in comparison to civilized countries which are moving in geometrical progression. Nigeria seems to be moving like a snail. In some circle, people believe we are moving two steps forward and one step backwards while others believe we have failed leadership. Regardless of your line of thought, one fact remains that we haven’t lived up to expectations of Nigerians. In civilized climes, where we can see evidence of contemporary leadership and development, most of the leaders in those countries are young men and woman who are doing amazing work for their countries. For example, in France, Emmanuel Macron was 39 years when he became the (youngest) President of France, Barak Obama was 47 years when he was elected President of USA, Sebastian Kurz, (31years), became the world‘s youngest national leader when he was elected prime minister of Austria in October 2017 just to mention a few. When compared to Nigeria, the average age of our civilian president is 62years. The current president of Nigeria is 75years and wants to seek re-election next year. If he succeeds, he will be 80 years when he’s through. Again, what hope lies for the future of Nigerian youths?
If successive government had performed above board, Nigeria would have had cause to be celebrating her independence every year. As far as I am concerned, the celebration is just a jamboree and an avenue to siphon money from the national treasury. Isn’t it true that once the foundation is broken, it will be hard to fix it back because everything will gradually begin to fall apart? The failure of our leaders to perform above board has led to the collapse of many institutions in Nigeria. When there’s leadership failure, there’s bound to be institutional failure.
Let’s take cursory look at the some of the institutions and how far they have fared:
Judiciary: The judiciary is seen as the hallmark mark of democracy and the last hope of the common man in civilized climes. According to legal minds, justice should not only be seen, but it should be manifestly seen to be done. Even though there has been some development in the Judiciary, especially as it relates to some major landmark decisions, there has been some lapses. For example, in 2016, the houses of some of judges were raided by the State Security Service – an act which was widely criticized by Nigerians as an abuse of the institutions.
Power Supply: The power supply in Nigeria is abysmally low. Many Nigerian businesses have comatose due to the high cost of sourcing power supply necessary to sustain their business. According to the reports provided by the Electricity Generating Companies, the average power supply in Nigeria is 3, 851 MW. Nigeria produces only five percent of its electricity. Corruption is one of the factors militating the efficient operation and distribution of power in Nigeria and little or nothing is done to checkmate the institutions. Chapter II Section 15 subsection 5 of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria states thus: The State shall abolish all corrupt practices and abuse of power. The question is: is this State really adhering with the instruction given?
If our leaders can work on stabilizing the power supply in Nigeria, the economy and infrastructural development of the country will take a new shape in the right direction.
Electoral Process and Democratic Dividends: One of the beauties of democracy is the freedom of speech and expression and also the freedom of the electorate to choose leaders of their choice. The electoral system in Nigeria has not lived up to the expectation of Nigerians judging from 1999 general election, each successive government has either used the instruments of the State to rig the elections to their favor or make it hard for the Independent National Electoral Commission to do its job independently and effectively. Apart from the 1993 general election which was conducted by Professor Humphrey Nwosu, there has been many cases of assault, death, violence, manipulation of results, and rigging just to mention a few during elections in Nigeria. Even after the elections, the citizens don’t get their desired dividends such as good roads, electricity, schools, hospitals, educational empowerment programs, jobs, and security just to mention a few. With the recent concluded Governorship election is Osun State, many voters were allegedly disenfranchised by the government of the day. It was said that there were widespread electoral irregularities which makes one wonder what hope do we have for the future?
Umemployment: Umemployment has been a huge challenge for Nigeria especially youth employment. Nigeria Universities churn out hundreds of thousands of graduates every year, but there’s little or no job for them. Each year, about 200,000 students graduate from Nigeria universities, but many it hard to find a job, and some will seek out less-than-honorable means of supporting themselves
This wasn’t the case during the oil boom era where jobs were readily available for most graduates even before they graduate from college. Because of this unemployment, many progressive minded youths have ventured into skills acquisition training programs and entrepreneurship, while others have gone into armed robbery, internet scamming and other dangerous activities to make a living – Kidnapping.
According to the statistical bulletin on formal employment and earnings for the first quarter of 2018, the average formal employment increased from 48,192 in the last quarter of 2017 to 48,708 in the first quarter of 2018, while the average earnings also increased by four per cent. The only way Nigeria can solve its many problems is by giving the youth more opportunities to participate in government, economy, and society. Young people are the prime beneficiaries of school improvement, and the percentage of youth in higher learning institutions is currently very high.
Health Industry: The health industry is one of the institutions that has received low attention in recent times. We lack modern health and infrastructural facilities to care for the citizens. It’s a shame that 58 years after independence, majority of our leaders go to foreign countries to receive medical treatment despite allocating huge sums of money to the Health industry. The infant mortality rate in Nigeria is alarming. The health system in Nigeria does not adequately serve the population. The average Nigerian life expectancy is 38.3, according to the World Health Report, one of the lowest life expectancy in sub-Saharan Africa.
Security: Nigeria has suffered a major setback in security in recent times. Each successive government has faced one form of security challenge depending on who is in government. For example during the administration of former President Goodluck Jonathan, Boko Haram was alleged to have been used to cause instability in the country; during Chief Olusegun Obasanjo’s regime, Niger Delta militants were on rampage. The sad note is that this insecurity has deteriorated to an uncontrollable level. In 2015, President Muhammadu Buhari promised to defeat the Islamist terror group Boko Haram. Much as the group was said to have been “technically defeated,” their attacks have continued.
Since his election in March 2015, Buhari has been able to curb the influence of the Islamist extremists. Also, we have the Niger Delta Avengers (NDA); Niger Delta Militants, amongst others. According to sources, the insurgents are being used to attack the government of the day in order to weaken the administration, and attract public sympathy to win election. This is not a healthy development for our beloved country Nigeria neither does it relate to what our founding fathers envisaged.
Economy: The widespread corruption in Nigeria is also crippling the development of the country. According to Transparency International, “Nigeria is ranked 148th position out of 180 countries measured. A strong factor in assessing how viable a progressive economy is by looking at the citizens’ standard of living. The economy of Nigeria has not really grown as expected. Nigeria is tagged the giant of Africa due to her population and abundant human natural resources, but she has not been able to fully maximize her potentials and resources, and this has led to her underdevelopment even as the most populous black nation in the world. According to Washington Post, “India is no longer home to the largest number of poor people in the world, Nigeria is”. According to a recent report from the Brookings Institution, “Nigeria overtook India in May to become the country with the world’s highest number of people living in extreme poverty, which is defined as living on less than $1.90 a day. The threshold captures those who struggle to obtain even basic necessities such as food, shelter and clothing, and takes into account differences in purchasing power between countries”. This fact was corroborated by the Prime Minister of Britain Theresa May. According to the UK Prime Minister, 87 million Nigerians were living below the poverty line of $1 and 90 cents per day. “Much of Nigeria is thriving, with many individuals enjoying the fruits of a resurgent economy, yet 87 million Nigerians live below $1 and 90 cents a day, making it home to more very poor people than any other nation in the world,”
If you take go around the streets of Lagos, Abuja, Calabar, Aba etc and ask average Nigerians how they feel about the economy of Nigeria and the development, you will be surprised to hear a lot of interesting responses. Every development stems from an effective leadership. Prior to Nigeria gaining independence in 1960 and even after her independence when we had Nationalist leaders, the poverty index ratio was much lower. In fact, the naira has more value that the dollar as of 1982. During the oil boom and the nationalist administration, the average Nigeria eats three square meal a day with relative ease compared to the status quo now when many Nigerians find it hard to eat three square meals a day. If we are honest to ourselves, this is not how progressive nations live. As an immigrant to USA, who have worked both in the private and public sectors, I have seen come to the sublime submission that food is one of the commonest commodity in America. In fact, my most recent experience is working in the Department of Correction as a Legal Coordinator in the City of New York, I discovered that the amount of food that the State of New York throws into garbage everyday is alarming. I imagine that the food will be enough to feed at least 5 States in Nigeria comfortably. Nigeria is blessed with abundant mineral and natural resources such as oil, natural gas, petroleum, tin, iron ore, coal, limestone, niobium, lead, zinc and arable land but the corruption in the system has messed us the polity. For example, although Nigeria is the sixth largest oil producer, it has to import petrol because Nigerian refineries are dilapidated. This is totally unacceptable. If we want to develop our economy, we must either renovate or build a new set of refineries in the regions in order to reduce the overhead cost in the production and processing of oil.
In summary, it should be noted that, a major reason for the increase in poverty rate is due to poor economic policies, corruption and ineffective leadership. What’s the way forward? We need to put the interest of the masses first, we need to build infrastructures, we need to empower the youths, we need to tap our into human and natural resources by diversifying our economies, we need to make our institutions work, we need probity and accountability; we need to tap into our best brains and eschew nepotism, tribalism, ethnicity, vested interest, sentiments in addition to ensuring that every Nigeria gets a fair share of the National cake.
As we celebrate our 58th independence anniversary, I can only pray and hope our leaders do the needful by providing a conducive atmosphere for our teeming savvy youths to thrive in addition to providing a conducive atmosphere for cerebral minds with great business to thrive.
I will like to end by asking my readers this question: Where did we get it wrong and how can we remedy the situation for the betterment of our country?
Henry Ukazu writes from New York. He works with the New York City Department of Correction as the Legal Coordinator. He can be reached via henrous@gmail.com.
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Opinion
Reimagining the African Leadership Paradigm: A Comprehensive Blueprint
Published
5 days agoon
January 10, 2026By
Eric
By Tolulope A. Adegoke, PhD
“To lead Africa forward is to move from transactional authority to transformational stewardship—where institutions outlive individuals, data informs vision, and service is the only valid currency of governance” – Tolulope A. Adegoke, PhD
The narrative of African leadership in the 21st century stands at a critical intersection of profound potential and persistent paradox. The continent, pulsating with the world’s youngest demographic and endowed with immense natural wealth, nonetheless contends with systemic challenges that stifle its ascent. This divergence between capacity and outcome signals not merely a failure of policy, but a deeper crisis of leadership philosophy and practice. As the global order undergoes seismic shifts, the imperative for African nations to fundamentally re-strategize their approach to governance has transitioned from an intellectual exercise to an existential necessity. Nigeria, by virtue of its demographic heft, economic scale, and cultural influence, serves as the continent’s most significant crucible for this transformation. The journey of Nigerian leadership from its current state to its potential apex offers a blueprint not only for its own 200 million citizens but for an entire continent in search of a new compass.
Deconstructing the Legacy Model: A Diagnosis of Systemic Failure
To construct a resilient future, we must first undertake an unflinching diagnosis of the present. The prevailing leadership archetype across much of Africa, with clear manifestations in Nigeria’s political economy, is built upon a foundation that has proven tragically unfit for purpose. This model is characterized by several interlocking dysfunctions:
· The Primacy of Transactional Politics Over Transformational Vision: Governance has too often been reduced to a complex system of transactions—votes exchanged for short-term patronage, positions awarded for loyalty over competence, and resource allocation serving political expediency rather than national strategy. This erodes public trust and makes long-term, cohesive planning impossible.
· The Tyranny of the Short-Term Electoral Cycle: Leadership decisions are frequently held hostage to the next election, sacrificing strategic investments in education, infrastructure, and industrialization on the altar of immediate, visible—yet fleeting—gains. This creates a perpetual cycle of reactive governance, preventing the execution of decade-spanning national projects.
· Administrative Silos and Bureaucratic Inertia: Government ministries and agencies often operate as isolated fiefdoms, with limited inter-departmental collaboration. This siloed approach fragments policy implementation, leads to contradictory initiatives, and renders the state apparatus inefficient and unresponsive to complex, cross-sectoral challenges like climate change, public health, and national security.
· The Demographic Disconnect: Africa’s most potent asset is its youth. Yet, a vast governance gap separates a dynamic, digitally-native, and globally-aware generation from political structures that remain opaque, paternalistic, and slow to adapt. This disconnect fuels alienation, brain drain, and social unrest.
· The Weakness of Institutions and the Cult of Personality: When the strength of a state is vested in individuals rather than institutions, it creates systemic vulnerability. Independent judiciaries, professional civil services, and credible electoral commissions are weakened, leading to arbitrariness in the application of law, erosion of meritocracy, and a deep-seated crisis of public confidence.
The tangible outcomes of this flawed model are the headlines that define the continent’s challenges: infrastructure deficits that strangle commerce, public education and healthcare systems in states of distress, jobless economic growth, multifaceted security threats, and the chronic hemorrhage of human capital. To re-strategize leadership is to directly address these outputs by redesigning the very system that produces them.
Pillars of a Reformed Leadership Architecture: A Holistic Framework
The new leadership paradigm must be constructed not as a minor adjustment, but as a holistic architectural endeavor. It requires foundational pillars that are interdependent, mutually reinforcing, and built to endure beyond political transitions.
1. The Philosophical Core: Embracing Servant-Leadership and Ethical Stewardship
The most profound change must be internal—a recalibration of the leader’s fundamental purpose. The concept of the leader as a benevolent “strongman” must give way to the model of the servant-leader. This philosophy, rooted in both timeless African communal values (ubuntu) and modern ethical governance, posits that the true leader exists to serve the people, not vice versa. It is characterized by deep empathy, radical accountability, active listening, and a commitment to empowering others. Success is measured not by the leader’s personal accumulation of power or wealth, but by the tangible flourishing, security, and expanded opportunities of the citizenry. This ethos fosters trust, the essential currency of effective governance.
2. Strategic Foresight and Evidence-Based Governance
Leadership must be an exercise in building the future, not just administering the present. This requires the collaborative development of a clear, compelling, and inclusive national vision—a strategic narrative that aligns the energies of government, private sector, and civil society. For Nigeria, frameworks like Nigeria’s Agenda 2050 and the National Development Plan must be de-politicized and treated as binding national covenants. Furthermore, in the age of big data, governance must transition from intuition-driven to evidence-based. This necessitates significant investment in data collection, analytics, and policy-informing research. Whether designing social safety nets, deploying security resources, or planning agricultural subsidies, decisions must be illuminated by rigorous data, ensuring efficiency, transparency, and measurable impact.
3. Institutional Fortification: Building the Enduring Pillars of State
A nation’s longevity and stability are directly proportional to the strength and independence of its institutions. Re-strategizing leadership demands an unwavering commitment to institutional architecture:
· An Impervious Judiciary: The rule of law must be absolute, with a judicial system insulated from political and financial influence, guaranteeing justice for the powerful and the marginalized alike.
· Electoral Integrity as Sacred Trust: Democratic legitimacy springs from credible elections. Investing in independent electoral commissions, transparent technology, and robust legal frameworks is non-negotiable for political stability.
· A Re-professionalized Civil Service: The bureaucracy must be transformed into a merit-driven, technologically adept, and well-remunerated engine of state, shielded from the spoils system and empowered to implement policy effectively.
· Robust, Transparent Accountability Ecosystems: Anti-corruption agencies require genuine operational independence, adequate funding, and protection. Complementing this, transparent public procurement platforms and mandatory asset declarations for public officials must become normalized practice.
4. Collaborative and Distributed Leadership: The Power of the Collective
The monolithic state cannot solve wicked problems alone. The modern leader must be a convener-in-chief, architecting platforms for sustained collaboration. This involves actively fostering a triple-helix partnership:
· The Public Sector sets the vision, regulates, and provides enabling infrastructure.
· The Private Sector drives investment, innovation, scale, and job creation.
· Academia and Civil Society contribute research, grassroots intelligence, independent oversight, and specialized implementation capacity.
This model distributes responsibility, leverages diverse expertise, and fosters innovative solutions—from public-private partnerships in infrastructure to tech-driven civic engagement platforms.
5. Human Capital Supremacy: The Ultimate Strategic Investment
A nation’s most valuable asset walks on two feet. Re-strategized leadership places a supreme, non-negotiable priority on developing human potential. For Nigeria and Africa, this demands a generational project:
· Revolutionizing Education: Curricula must be overhauled to foster critical thinking, digital literacy, STEM proficiency, and entrepreneurial mindset—skills for the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Investment in teacher training and educational infrastructure is paramount.
· Building a Preventive, Resilient Health System: Focus must shift from curative care in central hospitals to robust, accessible primary healthcare. A healthy population is a productive population, forming the basis of economic resilience.
· Creating an Enabling Environment for Talent: Beyond education and health, leadership must provide the ecosystem where talent can thrive: reliable electricity, ubiquitous broadband, access to venture capital, and a regulatory environment that encourages innovation and protects intellectual property. The goal is to make the domestic environment more attractive than the diaspora for the continent’s best minds.
6. Assertive, Strategic Engagement in Global Affairs
African leadership must shed any vestiges of a supplicant mentality and adopt a posture of strategic agency. This means actively shaping continental and global agendas:
· Leveraging the AfCFTA: Moving beyond signing agreements to actively dismantling non-tariff barriers, harmonizing standards, and investing in cross-border infrastructure to turn the agreement into a real engine of intra-African trade and industrialization.
· Diplomacy for Value Creation: Foreign policy should be strategically deployed to attract sustainable foreign direct investment, secure technology transfer agreements, and build partnerships based on mutual benefit, not aid dependency.
· Advocacy for Structural Reform: African leaders must collectively and persistently advocate for reforms in global financial institutions and multilateral forums to ensure a more equitable international system.
The Nigerian Imperative: From National Challenges to a National Charter
Applying this framework to Nigeria requires translating universal principles into specific, context-driven actions:
· Integrated Security as a Foundational Priority: Security strategy must be comprehensive, blending advanced intelligence capabilities, professionalized security forces, with parallel investments in community policing, youth employment programs in high-risk areas, and accelerated development to address the root causes of instability.
· A Determined Pursuit of Economic Complexity: Leadership must orchestrate a decisive shift from rent-seeking in the oil sector to value creation across diversified sectors: commercialized agriculture, light and advanced manufacturing, a thriving creative industry, and a dominant digital services sector.
· Constitutional and Governance Re-engineering: To harness its diversity, Nigeria requires a sincere national conversation on restructuring. This likely entails moving towards a more authentic federalism with greater fiscal autonomy for states, devolution of powers, and mechanisms that ensure equitable resource distribution and inclusive political representation.
· Pioneering a Just Energy Transition: Nigeria must craft a unique energy pathway—strategically utilizing its gas resources for domestic industrialization and power generation, while simultaneously positioning itself as a regional hub for renewable energy technology, investment, and innovation.
Conclusion: A Collective Endeavor of Audacious Hope
Re-strategizing leadership in Africa and in Nigeria is not an event, but a generational process. It is not the abandonment of culture but its evolution—melding the deep African traditions of community, consensus, and elder wisdom with the modern imperatives of transparency, innovation, and individual rights. This task extends far beyond the political class. It is a summons to a new generation of leaders in every sphere: the tech entrepreneur in Yaba, the reform-minded civil servant in Abuja, the agri-preneur in Kebbi, the investigative journalist in Lagos, and the community activist in the Niger Delta.
Ultimately, this is an endeavor of audacious hope. It is the conscious choice to build systems stronger than individuals, institutions more enduring than terms of office, and a national identity richer than our ethnic sum. Nigeria possesses all the requisite raw materials for greatness: human brilliance, cultural richness, and natural bounty. The final, indispensable ingredient is a leadership strategy worthy of its people. The blueprint is now detailed; the call to action is urgent. The future awaits not our complaints, but our constructive and courageous labor. Let the work begin in earnest.
Dr. Tolulope A. Adegoke is a globally recognized scholar-practitioner and thought leader at the nexus of security, governance, and strategic leadership. His work addresses complex institutional challenges, with a specialized focus on West African security dynamics, conflict resolution, and sustainable development.
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Opinion
Rivers State: Two Monkeys Burn the Village to Prove They Are Loyal to Jagaban
Published
1 week agoon
January 7, 2026By
Eric
By Sly Edaghese
Teaser
Rivers State is not collapsing by accident. It is being offered as a sacrifice. Two men, driven by fear of irrelevance and hunger for protection, have chosen spectacle over stewardship—setting fire to a whole people’s future just to prove who kneels better before power.
There comes a point when a political tragedy degenerates into farce, and the farce mutates into a curse. Rivers State has crossed that point. What is unfolding there is not governance, not even conflict—it is ritual madness, a grotesque contest in which two men are willing to burn an entire state just to be noticed by one man sitting far away in Abuja.
This is not ambition.
This is desperation wearing designer jacket.
At the center of this inferno stand two performers who have mistaken power for immortality and loyalty for slavery. One is a former god. The other is a former servant. Both are now reduced to naked dancers in a marketplace, grinding their teeth and tearing flesh to entertain Jagaban.
The first is Nyesom Wike—once feared, once untouchable, now frantic. A man whose political identity has collapsed into noise, threats, and recycled bravado. His ministerial appointment was never a validation of statesmanship; it was a severance package for betrayal. Tinubu did not elevate Wike because he admired him—he tolerated him because he was useful. And usefulness, in politics, is key, but it has an expiry date.
Wike governed Rivers State not as a public trust but as a private estate. He did not build institutions; he built dependencies. He did not groom leaders; he bred loyalists. Before leaving office, he salted the land with his men—lawmakers, commissioners, council chairmen—so that even in absence, Rivers State would still answer to his shadow. His obsession was simple and sick: if I cannot rule it, no one else must.
Enter Siminalayi Fubara—a man selected, not tested; installed, not trusted by the people but trusted by his maker. Fubara was meant to be an invisible power in a visible office—a breathing signature, a ceremonial governor whose only real duty was obedience.
But power has a way of awakening even the most timid occupant.
Fubara wanted to act like a governor. That single desire triggered a full-scale political assassination attempt—not with bullets, but with institutions twisted into weapons. A state of emergency was declared with obscene haste. The governor was suspended like a naughty schoolboy. His budget was butchered. His local government elections were annulled and replaced with a pre-arranged outcome favorable to his tormentor. Lawmakers who defected and lost their seats by constitutional law were resurrected like political zombies and crowned legitimate.
This was not law.
This was organized humiliation.
And when degradation alone failed, Wike went further—dragging Fubara into a room to sign an agreement that belonged more to a slave plantation than a democratic republic.
One clause alone exposed the rot:
👉 Fubara must never seek a second term.
In plain language: you may warm the chair, but you will never own it.
Then came the most revealing act of all—Wike leaked the agreement himself. A man so intoxicated by dominance that he thought publicizing oppression would strengthen his grip.
That leak was not strategy; it was confession. It told Nigerians that this was never about peace, order, or party discipline—it was about absolute control over another human being.
But history has a cruel sense of humor.
While Wike strutted like a victorious warlord and his loyal lawmakers sharpened new knives, Fubara did something dangerous: he adapted. He studied power where it truly resides. He learned Tinubu’s language—the language of survival, alignment, and betrayal without apology. Then he did what Nigerian politics rewards most:
He crossed over.
Not quietly. Not shamefully. But theatrically. He defected to the APC, raised a party card numbered 001 and crowned himself leader of the party in Rivers State. He pledged to deliver the same Rivers people to Tinubu just as Wike also has pledged.
That moment was not boldness.
It was cold-blooded realism.
And in one stroke, Wike’s myth collapsed.
The once-feared enforcer became a shouting relic—touring local governments like a prophet nobody believes anymore, issuing warnings that land on deaf ears, reminding Nigerians of favors that no longer matter. He threatened APC officials, cursed betrayal, and swore eternal vengeance. But vengeance without access is just noise.
Today, the humiliation is complete.
Fubara enters rooms Wike waits outside.
Presidential aides shake hands with the new alignment.
The old king rants in press conferences, sounding increasingly like a man arguing with a locked door.
And yet, the darkest truth remains: neither of these men cares about Rivers State.
One is fighting to remain relevant.
The other is fighting to remain protected.
The people—the markets, the schools, the roads, the civil servants—are expendable extras in a drama scripted far above their heads.
Some say Tinubu designed this blood sport—unable to discard Wike outright, he simply unleashed his creation against him. Whether genius or negligence, the effect is the same: Rivers State is being eaten alive by ambition.
This is what happens when politics loses shame.
This is what happens when loyalty replaces competence.
This is what happens when leaders treat states like bargaining chips and citizens like ashes.
Two monkeys are burning the village—not to save it, not to rule it—but to prove who can scream loudest while it burns.
And Jagaban watches, hands folded.
But when the fire dies down, when the music stops, when the applause fades, there will be nothing left to govern—only ruins, regret, and two exhausted dancers staring at the ashes, finally realizing that power does not clap forever.
Sly Edaghese sent in this piece from Wisconsin, USA.
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By Pelumi Olajengbesi Esq.
Every student of politics should now be interested in what will be the end of Wike. Wike is one of those names that mean different things to different people within Nigeria’s political culture. To his admirers, he is courage and capacity, to his critics, he is disruption and excess, and to neutral observers like me, he is simply a fascinating case study in the mechanics of power.
In many ways, he was instrumental to the emergence of President Tinubu, and he has long sat like a lord over the politics of Rivers, having pushed aside nearly every person who once mattered in that space. He waged war against his party, the PDP, and drove it to the edge. Wike waged war against his successor and reduced him to submission. He fights anyone who stands in his way.
He is powerful, loved by many, and deeply irritating to many others. Yet for all his strength, one suspects that Wike does not enjoy peace of mind, because before he is done with one fight, another fight is already forming. From Rivers to Ibadan, Abuja to Imo, and across the country, he is the only right man in his own way. He is constantly in motion, constantly in battle, and constantly singing “agreement is agreement,” while forgetting that politics is merely negotiation and renegotiation.
To his credit, Wike may often be the smartest political planner in every room. He reads everybody’s next move and still creates a countermove. In that self image, Governor Fubara was meant to remain on a leash, manageable through pressure, inducement, and the suggestion that any disobedience would be framed as betrayal of the President and the new federal order.
But politics has a way of punishing anyone who believes control is permanent. The moment Fubara joined the APC, the battlefield shifted, and old tricks began to lose their edge. Whether by real alignment, perceived alignment, or even the mere possibility of a different alignment, once Fubara was no longer boxed into the corner Wike designed for him, Wike’s entire method required review. The fight may remain, but the terrain has changed. When terrain changes, power must either adapt or harden into miscalculation.
It is within this context that the gradually brewing crisis deserves careful attention, because what is emerging is not merely another loud exchange, but a visible clash with vital stakeholders within the Tinubu government and the wider ruling party environment. There is now a fixed showdown with the APC National Secretary, a man who is himself not allergic to confrontation, and who understands that a fight, if properly timed, can yield political advantage, institutional relevance, and bargaining power. When such a figure publicly demands that Nyesom Wike should resign as a minister in Tinubu’s cabinet, it is not a joke, It is about who is permitted to exercise influence, in what space, and on what terms. It is also about the anxiety that follows every coalition built on convenience rather than shared identity, because convenience has no constitution and gratitude is not a structure.
Wike embodies that anxiety in its most dramatic form. He is a man inside government, but not fully inside the party that controls government. He is a man whose usefulness to a winning project is undeniable, yet whose political style constantly reminds the winners that he is not naturally theirs. In every ruling party, there is a crucial difference between allies and stakeholders. Allies help you win, and stakeholders own the structure that decides who gets what after victory. Wike’s problem is that he has operated like both. His support for Tinubu, and his capacity to complicate the opposition’s arithmetic, gave him relevance at the centre. That relevance always tempts a man to behave like a co-owner.
Wike has built his political life on the logic of territorial command. He defines the space, polices the gate, punishes disloyalty, rewards submission, and keeps opponents permanently uncertain. That method is brutally effective when a man truly owns and controls the structure, because it produces fear, and fear produces compliance. This is why Wike insists on controlling the Rivers equation, even when that insistence conflicts with the preferences of the national centre.
The APC leadership is not reacting only to words. It is reacting to what the words represent. When a minister speaks as though a state chapter of the ruling party should be treated like a guest in that state’s politics, the party reads it as an attempt to subordinate its internal structure to an external will. Even where the party has tolerated Wike because of what he helped deliver, it cannot tolerate a situation where its own officials begin to look over their shoulders for permission from a man who is not formally one of them. Once a party believes its chain of command is being bypassed, it will choose institutional survival over interpersonal loyalty every time.
Wike’s predicament is the classic risk of power without full institutional belonging. Informal influence can be louder than formal power, but it is also more fragile because it depends on continuous tolerance from those who control formal instruments. These instruments include party hierarchy, candidate selection, and the legitimacy that comes with membership.
An outsider ally can be celebrated while he is useful, but the coalition that celebrates him can begin to step away the moment his methods create more cost than value. The cost is not only electoral, it can also be organisational. A ruling party approaching the next political cycle becomes sensitive to discipline, structure, and coherence. If the leadership suspects that one person’s shadow is creating factions, confusing loyalties, or humiliating party officials, it will attempt to cut that shadow down. It may not do so because it hates the person, but because it fears the disorder and the precedent.
So the question returns with greater urgency, what will be the end of Wike? If it comes, it may not come with fireworks. Strongmen often do not fall through one decisive attack. They are slowly redesigned out of relevance. The end can look like isolation, with quiet withdrawal of access, gradual loss of influence over appointments, and the emergence of new centres of power within the same territory he once treated as private estate. It can look like neutralisation, with Wike remaining in office, but watching the political value of the office drain because the presidency and the party no longer need his battles. It can look like forced realignment, with him compelled to fully submit to the ruling party structure, sacrificing the freedom of being an independent ally, or losing the cover that federal power provides.
Yet it is also possible that his story does not end in collapse, because Wike is not a novice. The same instinct that made him influential can also help him survive if he adapts. But adaptation would require a difficult shift. It would require a move from territorial warfare to coalition management. It would require a move from ruling by fear to ruling by accommodation. It would require a move from being merely feared to being structurally useful without becoming structurally threatening. Wike may be running out of time.
Pelumi Olajengbesi is a Legal Practitioner and Senior Partner at Law Corridor
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