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Opinion

The Oracle: 2023 General Elections and a Fractionalised Electoral Process (Pt. 4)

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By Mike Ozekhome

INTRODUCTION

The struggle for democracy in Nigeria was never conceived only as an end in itself to end military rule or as an externally propelled initiative. It was a deliberate means of achieving responsible political leadership and strong institutions, which promote a transparent government that is responsible and accountable to the people. Nigeria’s democracy has not been able to give political and socio-economic dividends and empowerment to its citizens. Good governance has remained an illusion. Today, we shall further x-ray this vexed issue.

THE COURTS AND ELECTION TRIBUNALS

While the courts and Election Tribunals have, generally, discharged their judicial duties creditably, there are issues of concern: conflicting judgments/rulings/orders of court; disrespect for rule of law; allegations of corruption and ethnic and religious bias; role of members of the bar; remuneration of election tribunals, judges, volume of litigation and election petitions before Election Tribunals. INEC Report in 2015 show that there were 150 election petitions filed in 2003; 1,250 petitions in 2007; 400 in 2011 and 150 in 2015. All these petitions were time-bound.

POLITICAL PARTIES AND POLITICIANS

A lot of the violations of election laws on credible elections, rule of law and good governance are attributable to the political parties and politicians who take elections and quest for power as do or die affair. They want to remain in power perpetually, monopolizing power and attendant benefits. In line with Vilfredo Pareto and Graetano Mosca theory, there is always concentration of political power in the hands of this minority in the society which perform all political function, monopolize power and enjoy the advantages that power brings. From recent happenings, elective political offices are fast becoming an inheritance. Impunity including use of security agencies of political leaders and politicians are unequalled. Party discipline is thrown overboard as far as elected political office holders are concerned. There are also the more serious issues of lack of party ideology and political parties being dominated by ethnic and religious forces rather than being built on ideological persuasion.

THE PEOPLE AND THE VOTERS

There is general ignorance on the part of the people and voters. Material and monetary gains play an influential role in the attitude and behavior of the people and the voters. Voting is also predominantly influenced by some identity factors such as ethnicity, religion, family lineage and other primordial factors. Consequently, the political elite exploit these factors to their selfish ends of creating an oligarchy of themselves. Apart from a few cases of spontaneous reactions to electoral injustice, most cases of electoral violence and protests are actuated by the manipulative devices of the political elite.

BAD GOVERNANCE

At the risk of not being value-free, many scholars and analysts are of the view that one of the greatest challenges to conduct of credible elections and to democracy in the country is the failure of government to solve critical problems. These include inadequate basic needs of life such as food, health amenities, improved wages for workers, quality education, uninterrupted power supply, good roads, objective reform of electoral system, inequitable distribution of wealth, injustice, unfairness, lack of freedom of information, unemployment and insecurity. These create restiveness amongst the populace, and make the down trodden vulnerable and consequently susceptible to political manipulation. These conditions are crimo-genic capable of triggering frustration, aggression and violence. They also help to explain voters’ apathy and refusal to partake in political activities.

LOW FEMALE PARTICIPATION/INVOLVEMENT AND POLITICAL POSITIONS WON

One cannot, in contemporary clime conclude a discussion of challenges to Nigeria’s electoral process without harping on the vexed issue of marginalization of the female group and complaint about imbalance in political positions won by males and females.

(B) PROSPECTS
1. The greatest prospect within the context of our discourse is adoption of a legal framework including constitutional provisions whereby there is rule of law under which elections are being conducted to constitute leadership at both legislative and executive arms of government. It is the platform on which representative government and quest for good governance are being expressed. This postulation is not unmindful of the imperfections that exist in the electoral process. Until there is a change, the debate continues whether the Constitution, as it is today, represents the will of the people.
2. No one can deny that there are some visible dividends of democratic system of government in the country. These are in the form of freedom and liberty and enjoyment of other fundamental human rights; infrastructural development, social inclusion policy, etc.
3. Electoral reforms are being effected and there is ample room for agitation for more reforms. The Electoral Act, 2022 is a product of the reforms. The successes recorded in 2015 elections and the Edo and Ondo Governorship elections of 2020 are the result of new strategies employed by the INEC and the use of technology, including Direct Data Capture Machines and card readers among other things.
4. More than anything else, the judiciary is in the forefront of sanitizing the electoral process through its role in adjudication of election disputes and interpretation of the relevant provisions of the Constitution, Electoral legislation and some other laws. Such landmark cases as Amaechi v INEC & Others (2007) 9 NWLR (Pt. 1040) 504, INEC & Another v Balarabe Musa & Others (2003) 3 NWLR (Pt. 806) 72, Ngige v INEC (2010) 5 NWLR) (Pt. 1186) 92, Abubakar Atiku v. Yar’Adua 2003) 3 NWLR (Pt. 806) 72, and Buhari v. INEC(2008) 18 NWLR (Pt. 1120) 246, are ground-breaking in bringing credibility to the electoral process. This is not to say that some judicial decisions are not taken with a pinch of salt. Neither the issue of delay in adjudication in election petition cases, nor delivery of conflicting decisions are salutary. The courts have also been able to deliver judgments in election petition cases within the time stipulated by law. To some extent, therefore, the judiciary has performed creditably in its contributions to the stability of the current democratic experience in the country.
5. INEC, has in conformity with its statutory functions made efforts to monitor elections and ensure that there is peace during election. Although INEC is not a security agency, it has initiated Consultative Peace Committee and Inter-Agency Consultative Committee on election security management. It is disagreeable the extent to which this initiative has removed violence from the electoral process. INEC has also adopted a system of election observation and monitoring by observers, and monitors. The domestic observers and monitors included the “Transition Monitoring Group”, (TMG) a body of over 170 NGOs which deployed over 10,000 monitors to all parts of the country, the Catholic Church “Justice Development and Peace Committee” (JDPC) which trained and deployed over 20,000 persons to all parts of the country; the Media Monitoring Group (MMG) and many others. The major international monitoring groups include (EU-EOM) with 118 observers, Jimmy Carter Foundation in Collaboration with the National Democratic Institute (NDI) had 50 observers from 12 nations in Africa, Asia, Europe and the U.S.A.
6. Despite all odds, there are election observers that adjudged some elections in the country especially the 2015 and 2020 Edo and Ondo Governorship elections as peaceful, free and fair. There is no denying the fact that none of these elections were devoid of infractions, in any way.
7. Furthermore, with a few exceptions, elections were conducted as scheduled.

CONCLUSION, RECOMMENDATIONS AND/OR THE WAY FORWARD

CONCLUSION

By the theory of liberal democracy which is adopted by the Nigerian Constitution, the people are expected to elect and control their leaders and demand accountability from them. Rule of law principles enshrined in the Constitution reinforce this practice. Credible elections are therefore a sine qua non for good governance and development. Quoting D, Working, the court in Amechi v INEC (Supra) stated that “true democracy is not just statistical democracy in which anything, a majority or plurality wants is legitimate for that reason, but communal democracy in which majority decision is legitimate only when it is a majority decision within a community of equals…” Electoral process, as a component of the rule of law, is an expression that leaders who emerge from this process should engage with rational legal regulations. The essence of election and electoral process is to afford opportunity to the citizens to participate in the choice of their leaders. Such leadership is not, ipso facto, to subvert the electoral integrity of the country, but to abide by rational legal regulations and procedures that are key to democracy and good governance with multiplier effects on development. While it is true that democracy does not guarantee Eldorado or good governance, a leadership with the political will to actualize laws will trigger off positive responses from subordinates and the governed leading them to associate more closely with the goals of a society. There are prospects of credible elections in Nigeria, however, the emerging challenges must be surmounted to create, at all times, a culture of upholding standards for such credible elections that will usher leadership that will engender good governance and development of the country.

RECOMMENDATIONS/ THE WAY FORWARD

1. Politicians should desist from conducting politics as a warfare/do-or-die affair, as these make citizens who are supposed to benefit from good governance scapegoats of the democratic process.
2. Elections should be conducted on a free and fair basis, upholding the tenets of the rule of law such that Nigerian citizens are given the fair opportunity to choose their representatives and also to contribute in the policy making process.
3. Corruption fighting institutions (e.g. EFCC, ICPC) should be strengthened and given the necessary support to bring to book all past political leaders in Nigeria who used state apparatus while in government to accumulate wealth so as to always buy their ways into political offices.
4. Politicians who have ascended into governance must know that they owe the electorates explanations for their current acts. They should see themselves as servants of the people and not the other way round. As such, they should contribute to the stable growth of the economy and the actualization of the needs and aspirations of the citizenry programs.
5. Lack of continuity and shift in approach by successive governments trailed socio-economic development programs in Nigeria as each administration comes in with different ideas.
6. In addition, there is need to improve the process of voter education and political sensitization especially for the young people as they will greatly influence the success of the elections.
7. To reform the conduct of elections and electoral process in Nigeria, something of a radical departure is also required. A legislative framework must be created to make transparency and good governance a necessity. The goals of that radical departure must include:
(a) The completion of the Nigerian independence project by making the country truly united, invisible and indissoluble and for the purpose of promoting good a government and welfare of all persons in the country.
(b) The subordination of the Nigerian state, the ruling class in general and the political class in particular to the will and sovereignty of the Nigerian people.
(c) The creation of a new political class whose defining values will support both democracy and development in Nigeria.
(d) The creation of a politics that is value-driven and therefore truly competitive; that enables the separation between interest groups and their political platforms on the basis of their defining ideologies and hence programs. (To be continued).

FUNTIMES

“Police: Mr Lual Malong Yor Jr, we’re here to investigate the source of your wealths.
Mr Lual: When I was poor did you investigate the source of my poverty?” – Anonymous.

THOUGHT FOR THE WEEK

“Election days come and go. But the struggle of the people to create a government which represents all of us and not just the one percent – a government based on the principles of economic, social, racial and environmental justice – that struggle continues.” (Bernie Sanders).

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Opinion

How Dr. Fatima Ibrahim Hamza (PT, mNSP) Became Kano’s Healthcare Star and a Model for African Women in Leadership

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By Dr. Sani Sa’idu Baba

My dear country men and women, over the years, I have been opportune to watch numerous speeches delivered by outstanding women shaping the global health sector especially those within Africa. Back home, I have also listened to towering figures like Dr. Hadiza Galadanci, the renowned O&G consultant whose passion for healthcare reform continues to inspire many. Even more closer home, there is Dr. Fatima Ibrahim Hamza, my classmate and colleague. Anyone who knew her from the beginning would remember a hardworking young woman who left no stone unturned in her pursuit of excellence. Today, she stands tall as one of the most powerful illustrations of what African women in leadership can achieve when brilliance, discipline, and integrity are brought together.

Before I dwell into the main business for this week, let me make this serious confession. If you are a regular traveler within Nigeria like myself, especially in the last two years, you will agree that no state currently matches Kano in healthcare delivery and institutional sophistication. This transformation is not accidental. It is the result of a coordinated, disciplined, and visionary ecosystem of leadership enabled by Kano State Governor, Engr Abba Kabir Yusuf. From the strategic drive of the Hospitals Management Board under the meticulous leadership of Dr. Mansur Nagoda, to the policy direction and oversight provided by the Ministry of Health led by the ever committed Dr. Abubakar Labaran, and the groundbreaking reforms championed by the Kano State Primary Health Care Management Board under the highly cerebral Professor Salisu Ahmed Ibrahim, the former Private Health Institution Management Agency (PHIMA) boss, a man who embodies competence, hard work, honesty, and principle, the progress of Kano’s health sector becomes easy to understand. With such a strong leadership backbone, it is no surprise that individuals like Dr. Fatima Ibrahim Hamza is thriving and redefining what effective healthcare leadership looks like in Nigeria.

Across the world, from top medical institutions to global leadership arenas, one truth echoes unmistakably: when women lead with vision, systems transform. Their leadership is rarely about theatrics or force; it is about empathy, innovation, discipline, and a capacity to drive change from the inside out. Kano State has, in recent years, witnessed this truth firsthand through the extraordinary work of Dr. Fatima at Sheikh Muhammad Jidda General Hospital.

In less than 2 years, Dr. Fatima has emerged as a phenomenon within Kano’s healthcare landscape. As the youngest hospital director in the state, she has demonstrated a style of leadership that mirrors the excellence seen in celebrated female leaders worldwide, women who inspire not by occupying space, but by redefining it. Her performance has earned her two high level commendations. First, a recognition by the Head of Service following a rigorous independent assessment of her achievements, and more recently, a formal commendation letter from the Hospitals Management Board acknowledging her professionalism, discipline, and transformative impact.

These acknowledgements are far more than administrative gestures, they place her in the company of women leaders whose influence reshaped nations: New Zealand’s Jacinda Ardern with her empathy driven governance, Liberia’s Ellen Johnson Sirleaf with her courageous reforms, and Germany’s Angela Merkel with her disciplined, steady leadership. Dr. Fatima belongs to this esteemed lineage of women who do not wait for change, they create it.

What sets her apart is her ability to merge vision with structure, compassion with competence, and humility with bold ambition. Staff members describe her as firm yet accessible, warm yet uncompromising on standards, traits that embody the modern leadership model the world is steadily embracing. Under her stewardship, Sheikh Jidda General Hospital has transformed from a routine public facility into an institution of possibility, demonstrating what happens when a capable woman is given the opportunity to lead without constraint.

The recent commendation letter from the Hospitals Management Board captures this evolution clearly: “Dr. Fatima has strengthened administrative coordination, improved patient care, elevated professional standards, and fostered a hospital environment where excellence has become the norm rather than the exception”. These outcomes are remarkable in a system that often battles bureaucratic bottlenecks and infrastructural limitations. Her work is proof that effective leadership especially in health must be visionary, intentional, and rooted in integrity.

In a period when global discourse places increasing emphasis on the importance of women in leadership particularly in healthcare, Dr. Fatima stands as a living testament to what is possible. She has demonstrated that leadership is never about gender, but capacity, clarity of purpose, and the willingness to serve with unwavering commitment.

Her rise sends a powerful message to young girls across Nigeria and Africa: that excellence has no gender boundaries. It is a call to institutions to trust and empower competent women. And it is a reminder to society that progress accelerates when leadership is guided by competence rather than stereotypes.

As Kano continues its journey toward comprehensive healthcare reform, Dr. Fatima represents a new chapter, one where leadership is defined not by age or gender, but by impact, innovation, and measurable progress. She is, without question, one of the most compelling examples of modern African women in leadership today.

May her story continue to enlighten, inspire, and redefine what African women can, and will achieve when given the opportunity to lead.

Dr. Baba writes from Kano, and can be reached via drssbaba@yahoo.com

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Opinion

Book Review: Against the Odds by Dozy Mmobuosi

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By Sola Ojewusi

Against the Odds is an ambitious, deeply personal, and unflinchingly honest memoir that traces the remarkable rise of Dozy Mmobuosi, one of Nigeria’s most dynamic and controversial entrepreneurs. In this sweeping narrative, Mmobuosi reveals not just the public milestones of his career, but the intimate struggles, internal battles, and defining moments that shaped his identity and worldview.

The book is both a personal testimony and a broader commentary on leadership, innovation, and Africa’s future—and it succeeds in balancing these worlds with surprising emotional clarity.

A Candid Portrait of Beginnings

Mmobuosi’s story begins in the bustling, unpredictable ecosystem of Lagos, where early challenges served as the furnace that forged his ambitions. The memoir details the circumstances of his upbringing, the value systems passed down from family, and the early encounters that sparked his desire to build solutions at scale.

These foundational chapters do important work: they humanize the protagonist. Readers meet a young Dozy not as a business figurehead, but as a Nigerian navigating complex social, financial, and personal realities—realities that millions of Africans will find familiar.

The Making of an Entrepreneur

As the narrative progresses, the memoir transitions into the defining phase of Mmobuosi’s business evolution. Here, he walks readers through the origins of his earliest ventures and the relentless curiosity that led him to operate across multiple industries—fintech, agri-tech, telecoms, AI, healthcare, consumer goods, and beyond.

What is striking is the pattern of calculated risk-taking. Mmobuosi positions himself as someone unafraid to venture into uncharted territory, even when the cost of failure is steep. His explanations offer readers valuable insights into:
• market intuition
• the psychology of entrepreneurship
• the sacrifices required to build at scale
• the emotional and operational toll of high-growth ventures

These passages make the book not only readable but instructive—especially for emerging

African entrepreneurs.

Triumphs, Crises, and Public Scrutiny
One of the book’s most compelling strengths is its willingness to confront controversy head-on.

Mmobuosi addresses periods of intense scrutiny, institutional pressure, and personal trials.

Instead of glossing over these chapters, he uses them to illustrate the complexities of building businesses in emerging markets and navigating public perception.

The tone is reflective rather than defensive, inviting readers to consider the thin line between innovation and misunderstanding in environments where the rules are still being written.

This vulnerability is where the memoir finds its emotional resonance.

A Vision for Africa

Beyond personal history, Against the Odds expands into a passionate manifesto for African transformation. Mmobuosi articulates a vision of a continent whose young population, natural resources, and intellectual capital position it not as a follower, but a potential leader in global innovation.

He challenges outdated narratives about Africa’s dependency, instead advocating for
homegrown technology, supply chain sovereignty, inclusive economic systems, and investment in human capital.

For development strategists, policymakers, and visionaries, these sections elevate the work from memoir to thought leadership.

The Writing: Accessible, Engaging, and Purposeful

Stylistically, the memoir is direct and approachable. Mmobuosi writes with clarity and intention, blending storytelling with reflection in a way that keeps the momentum steady. The pacing is effective: the book moves seamlessly from personal anecdotes to business lessons, from introspection to bold declarations.

Despite its business-heavy subject matter, the prose remains accessible to everyday readers.

The emotional honesty, in particular, will appeal to those who appreciate memoirs that feel lived rather than curated.

Why This Book Matters

Against the Odds arrives at a critical moment for Africa’s socioeconomic trajectory. As global attention shifts toward African innovation, the need for authentic narratives from those building within the system becomes essential.

Mmobuosi’s memoir offers:
• a case study in resilience
• an insider’s perspective on entrepreneurship in frontier markets
• a meditation on reputation, legacy, and leadership
• a rallying cry for African ambition

For readers like Sola Ojewusi, whose work intersects with media, policy, leadership, and social development, this book offers profound insight into the human stories driving Africa’s new generation of builders.

Final Verdict

Against the Odds is more than a success story—it is a layered, introspective, and timely work that captures the pressures and possibilities of modern African enterprise. It challenges stereotypes, raises important questions about leadership and impact, and ultimately delivers a narrative of persistence that audiences across the world will find relatable.

It is an essential read for anyone interested in the future of African innovation, the personal realities behind public leadership, and the enduring power of vision and resilience

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Opinion

Redefining Self-leadership: Henry Ukazu As a Model

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By Abdulakeem Sodeeq SULYMAN
In a world filled with talents and unique gifts, nurturing oneself for an impact-filled living becomes one of the potent metrics for assuming how one’s life would unfold – either in the nearest or far future. I am sure the question you may be curious to ask is ‘what is the important quality that has shaped the life of every individual who has unleashed their ingenuity?’ Apparently, our society is filled with numerous people, who missed the track of their life. Their iniquity is boiled down to one thing – failure to lead oneself.
Realising how important it is to be your own leader has been the springboard for every transformative life. Notably, this also becomes the premise for appreciating and celebrating Henry Ukazu for setting the pace and modeling self-leadership in this era, where self-leadership is under-appreciated by our people. Self-leadership itself engineers purposeful and impactful living, turning individuals to sources of hope to others.
This is exactly what Henry Ukazu symbolises. The name Henry Ukazu is akin to many great things such as ‘Unleashing One’s Destiny,’ ‘Finding One’s Purpose’ and ‘Triumphant Living.’ Regardless of the impression one have formed about Henry Ukazu, one thing you cannot deny is his ability to be pure to nature and committed to his cause. Henry Ukazu is one of the rare people who still believed in the values of the human worth and has committed every penny of his to ensure that every human deserves to live the best life.
The trajectory of Henry Ukazu’s life is convincing enough to be choosing as an icon by anyone who chooses to climb the ladder of self-leadership. Oftentimes, Henry Ukazu always narrate how he faced the storms of life when birthing his purpose. He takes honour in his struggles, knowing full well that every stumbling blocks life throws at him helped in building himself. If not for self-leadership, he will not found honours in his struggles, let alone challenging himself to be an example of purposeful living to others.
Without mincing words, Henry Ukazu’s life has been blessed with the presence of many people, with some filling his life with disappointments, while some blessing him with immeasurable transformations. Surprisingly, Henry Ukazu has never chosen to be treating people negatively; rather he would only choose the path of honour by avoiding drama and let common sense prevail. That’s one of the height of simplicity!
Dear readers, do you know why today is important for celebrating Henry Ukazu? Today, 3rd December, is his birthday and with all sincerity, Henry Ukazu deserves to be celebrated because he has chosen the noble path, one filled with honours and recognitions for being an icon of inspiration and transformation to the mankind. As Henry Ukazu marks another year today, may the good Lord continue shielding him from all evils and guiding him in right directions, where posterity will feel his role and impacts!
Many happy returns, Sir!

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