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Lagos 2027: Who Would Tinubu Choose?

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By Eric Elezuo

The atmosphere in Lagos State even as the campaigning season and the 2027 Governorship election draw closer, is nothing in the neighborhood of tense or expectation among the electorate as the aspirants have little or no need of the acceptance of the masses to solidify their aspirations or acceptance. Everyone, who harbors the ambition to be the landlord of Alausa and replace Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu in 2027, only has one duty, and that is to impress President Bola Tinubu, who has lord it over the state since the return to democracy in 1999.

The Boss investigation reveals that not a few of Lagos politicians are interested in occupying the Lagos House, home of the Governor, come 2027 as loyalist permutations rather than flashback to communal achievements continue to dominate the frontline.

Among aspirants, whose body language or unspoken gesculations have hinted their intentions to take over the administration of Lagos State in 2027 include but not limited to the present Deputy Governor, Femi Hamzat, immediate past Governor of Lagos, Akinwumi Ambode, Education Minister, Tunji Alausa, Senator Tokunbo Abiru, and Muri Okunola.

But as usual, someone, who is not initially seen as the frontrunner, is capable of  securing the ticket because the power of decision lies with one, who has come to be known as the be all and end all of Lagos politics, and presently, the All Progressives Congress (APC) as a party.

It is believed that Tinubu has been solely instrumental to the nomination of all the governors, most especially, and another political office holders that have occupied rulership positions in the state since 1999. And that posit the question as 2027 approaches; who would Tinubu choose?

Stakeholders have reasoned that nomination or outright selection of the governorship candidate of Tinubu’s party, who, from precedence, has always gone ahead to become the Governor of the state, is largely not on the strength of their political sagacity, not on the strength of their political and career achievements, neither is it on the strength of their impetuousity.

Accordingly, observers have said based on reccurent events in the last almost three decades, the selection is based on the strenght of the aspirant’s docility and weak resistance; on the strength of their blind loyalty to the ultimate kingmaker, and not forgetting on the strength of the whims and caprice of Bola Tinubu.

Everything basically resolves on who Tinubu chooses, and so the question again; who would Tinubu choose?

FEMI HAMZAT

Dr Femi Hamzat

The president Deputy Governor of Lagos State, Femi Hamzat, was born into a politics-oriented family, and that explains his political sagacity, which may be a threat to the kingmaker(s)

His parents were Late Oba Mufutau Olatunji Hamzat and Late Alhaja Kehinde Hamzat from Iga Egbe, Lagos State. His father served as a member of the Lagos State House of Assembly and as a Commissioner for Transportation in the state (1979–1983) before becoming the Vice-chairman (South West) of then Alliance for Democracy (AD). He became the Lagos West Senatorial District leader of the Action Congress and a crowned king through his maternal royal lineage.

Hamzat is rooted in grass-roots politics, and missed becoming the anointed candidate in 2015 when Ambode was unceremoniously chosen. He was also sidelined in 2023 when Sanwo-Olu took over, but many believe his time is now if Tinubu will consider his patience. Hamzat will be 62 in September.

AKINWUMI AMBODE

Ambode is the immediate past governor of Lagos State, whose tenure ended after his first four years, having fallen out of favour with the proverbial kingmaker, Tinubu. It was believed that the rejection Ambode suffered in the hands of party stalwarts was at the instance of now President Tinubu. He overwhelmingly lost at the primaries to Sanwo-Olu, who was practically ‘anointed’ to replace him.

A career civil servant, who rose to become the state’s accountant-General, Ambode, presented 62, was chosen to replace Tunde Fashola in 2015. It was rumored that Ambode ‘deviated’ from the ‘yes sir’ programme, and dared to be his own boss, initiate his own programmes and run the state as he and his cabinet deem fit. That was not acceptable to the powers that be, and Ambode never made it to the ballot paper in 2015

Though he eventually supported Sanwo-Olu’s campaign, after he was humbled, and brought about a smooth transition in the state, Ambode was kept at arms length in Lagos politics thereafter. But in retrospect, he has found his way back to the good books of Tinubu, and a lot of people are believing he may be given an opportunity to be at the helm of affairs again for another four years to conclude a supposedly unconcluded tenure. Ambode, however, is Christian just as the outgoing governor. But things of that nature doesn’t matter to Tinubu, when he wishes to made a decision.

MURI OKUNOLA

The 54 years Hakeem Muri Okunola, popularly known as HMO, is one aspirant, whom everyone believe is probably the anointed one for the governorship position come 2027.

Of privileged heritage in Lagos, being the first son of the late respected Justice Muritala Okunola, HMO is a trained lawyer, public administrator, technocrat and currently the Principal Secretary to President Bola Tinubu. He also served as the 22nd Lagos State Head of Service, a service he joined in 2001.

It would be proper to say that HMO has served and expressed loyalty to Tinubu for the better of his life. Between 2003 2005, he was personal assistant to Tinubu, until he was appointed as Executive Secretary to the Governor, Land Use and Allocation Committee. Afterwards, he was promoted to the position of Permanent Secretary in the Lagos State Public Service in 2011.

A reputed family man, HMO is seen as the closest person to Tinubu in official relationship, maybe after Femi Gbajabiamila, who is presently the Chief of Staff to the President.

TOKUNBO ABIRU

A seasoned banker, who is currently representing Lagos East Senatorial district in the Senate since 2020, Abiru has served as Commissioner for Finance, where he is touted as having performed creditably.

Abiru is also a member of the Lagos HOMs Committee, which is in charge of the Lagos State Home Ownership Mortgage Scheme (HOMs) instituted to reduce the housing deficit in the state.

He was named the chairman, Senate Committee on Banking of the 10th Senate on 8 August 2023.

Abiru was privileged to be to go to the Senate in 2020 following expressed permission granted by Tinubu. It is hoped that his luck may shine again as the drums of 2027 beat.

TUNJI ALAUSA

Alausa is trained medical doctor, who presently heads Nigeria’s Education Ministry – a position, he assumed in 2024. He was previously the Minister of State for Health and Social Welfare before Tahir was dismissed, creating a vacancy in the Ministry of Education.

Little is known of Alausa until he was invited to serve in the administration of Bola Tinubu.

Many has criticised Alausa’s policies since he assumed the office of senior minister in Education, but those can be overlooked if Tinubu stretch his radar his way.

Like many of the privileged ones, Alausa is also is also in his 60s, and will turn 61 in April.

FEMI GBAJABIAMILA 

Former Speaker of the House of Representatives, Gbajabiamila is presently the Chief of Staff to the President – a privileged office. He is assumed to be the closest person to the President by virtue of his office.

Gbajabiamila was first elected to the House of Representatives in 2003, representing the Surulere I constituency of Lagos State, and was consistently re-elected and served for six consecutive terms before he was invited by Tinubu to be his CoS, spending a total of 20 years in the Green Chamber.

Everyone, who knows Tinubu is aware that he can sprung a surprise any time. He chooses is his exclusive preserve, close to his chest and may come as a shock, when eventually announced.

So, who would Tinubu choose?

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Tinubu, Victim of Historical Amnesia – Atiku

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By Eric Elezuo

True to political permutations, the National Convention of the opposition African Democratic Congress (ADC) amid Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) derecognition and leadership litigation, set a chain reaction in the political space, including a former Vice President and one of the leaders of the ADC, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, berating President Bola Tinubu as lacking a good knowledge of history.

Against all odds, the party went ahead on April 14, to host a Convention, where over 3000 delegates attended, and where the leadership of Senator David Mark and Ogbeni Rauf Aregbesola as National Chairman and National Secretary respectively were ratified.

Since the April 14 event, the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) has reacted in a manner political stakeholders and analysts categorized as panicky with statements from the presidency, and President Bola Tinubu himself. Though these responses were tagged correctional of ill-made utterances by ADC chieftains, observers have however said they portray comments by a team faced with an ultimately new challenge.

At the convention, the secretary of the ADC, Aregbesola, had dismissed Tinubu’s administration and his renewed hope policy as a scam. He lambasted the administration as a government of “scammers”, urging Nigerians to block it from retaining power in 2027.

“If allowed, this regime will continue to chant renewed hope till eternity. We have a duty to stop these scammers from retaining power,” Aregbesola said.

The former vice president followed up the convention statements, accusing Tinubu’s presidency of attempting to subvert democratic principles and silence opposition voices ahead of the 2027 elections, a position that further set the ruling party on edge, eliciting tons of reactions.

Beyond Presidential spokesman, Bayo Onanuga’s criticism of Aregbesola for failing to reflect on his own record before attacking his “former boss and benefactor”, Tinubu himself made remarks against the person’s of the leaders of the ADC and their convention, calling it ‘street convention’.

“Unfortunately, Aregbesola did not undertake any honest self-reflection on his own record in public office — as governor or as Minister of Interior,” Onanuga stated in his statement.

He alleged that Aregbesola’s tenure as governor of Osun State was marked by hardship and poor economic management.

“His eight years as governor of Osun State were characterised by unmitigated hardship for the people. Under his half-baked socialist policies, civil servants went unpaid for months, and those who were paid received only a fraction of their salaries,” Onanuga said.

Tinubu, on his part, while hosting the Hope Renewal Ambassadors, took a swipe at some opposition figures, especially Atiku, ridiculing and questioning their records for criticising his administration, and saying that many of them have held strategic positions in the past without delivering lasting results.

He boldly retorted that “If you look at one of them, no one without history among them – no one without history. The head was the chairman of the privatisation council of Nigeria in this country one time.

“He privatised the steel industry in Delta. Is it working today? No. Is anything they privatised working today? They want to privatise another man’s political party. That one says no.”

Responding therefore, the former Vice President launched a fierce counterattack on Tinubu, accusing him of hypocrisy, historical distortion, and political desperation.

In a statement issued by his Senior Special Assistant on Public Communication, Phrank Shaibu, Atiku described the President’s remarks as a “reckless tirade” that reflects “a troubling pattern of hypocrisy and historical amnesia.”

The statement began with “Atiku Abubakar’s attention has been drawn to the latest reckless tirade by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu—a performance that exposes not just desperation, but a troubling pattern of hypocrisy and historical amnesia.”

Atiku expressed surprise that a leader facing persistent scrutiny over his own credentials would attempt to discredit others with what he described as well-documented records of public service.

On the issue of privatisation, Atiku’s camp argued that Tinubu’s criticism does not stand up to scrutiny, noting that the President had previously opposed reforms he now appears to be implementing.

The statement maintained that Atiku had long advocated the privatisation of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) and the sale of refineries to credible private investors—a position it claimed Tinubu resisted at the time.

It, however, alleged that the current administration is now overseeing a system that has effectively commercialised the national oil company “without transparency, clear valuation, or accountability.”

“This is not reform; it is privatisation without accountability,” the statement said.

Defending Atiku’s economic legacy, the statement cited several companies as examples of the success of the privatisation programme he supervised, including Oando Plc (formerly Unipetrol), Conoil Plc, African Petroleum (now Ardova Plc), Indorama Eleme Petrochemicals, Benue Cement Company, and Transcorp Hilton Abuja.

The statement also took a swipe at the President’s intellectual posture, suggesting that his comments reflect a failure to engage with documented history on Nigeria’s economic reforms.

“It is not our fault that the President does not and cannot read,” the statement said, while also referencing past controversies surrounding Tinubu’s academic records.

It added that Tinubu’s remarks could only have been made in disregard of publicly available records and credible accounts of the privatisation process.

“You cannot oppose reform when it demands courage and then execute a shadow version of it in power,” the statement added.

Atiku’s camp further criticised the tone of the President’s remarks, arguing that resorting to mockery reflects a deeper leadership concern.

“The President’s attempt to reduce a serious economic legacy to ridicule underscores a leadership more comfortable with insults than with facts,” it stated.

The statement also highlighted the current economic situation in the country, pointing to rising cost of living, inflation, and insecurity as evidence of policy failure.

“Across the country, families are skipping meals, businesses are shutting down, and citizens are struggling under the weight of inflation and declining purchasing power. What has been presented as reform has translated into hardship without relief,” it said.

The statement concluded by asserting that Atiku’s record remains “clear, documented, and defensible,” while noting that unresolved public concerns about the President’s background persist.

“A leader who has not fully addressed questions about his own background should exercise restraint before casting aspersions on others,” it added.

The statement ended with a cautionary note: “Nigerians are watching.”

While the ADC is fighting for their life, and an opportunity to feature on the ballot during the 2027 general elections, and APC solidifying their grip on the political space, the atmosphere still exudes evidence of palpable tension. The APC maintains that they are on homerun to victory, ADC counters that nothing will save the ruling party from being defeated in the coming elections.

But as it stands today, both parties are locked in battle of wits recreating the tension and bad blood that was the hallmark of the 2015, and to a large extent, the 2023 elections.

But on April 22, the Supreme Court will rule on the leadership of the ADC; this will set the motion to the credibility of the ADC to participate in the 2027 election.

But fears pervade the political terrain as Tinubu made veiled reference to the judiciary while mocking Atiku and other leaders of the ADC.

“We cannot submit to the disobedience of unlawful orders in court. We must embrace the judiciary, whether it favours us or it doesn’t, we submit to this principle of democracy, separation of powers and understanding of the dynamics of it and the nation that Nigeria is,” Tinubu had said, insinuating that the ADC had gone against the judiciary.

The coming week will determine in totality the direction the 2027 situation will take.

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Supreme Court Fixes April 22 for Hearing in ADC Leadership Crisis

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The Supreme Court has scheduled hearing for April 22 in the appeal filed by the National Chairman of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), Senator David Mark, in relation to the leadership dispute in the party.

Mark’s appeal is against the March 12 judgment of the Court of Appeal, which dismissed his appeal against the September 4, 2025 ruling by Justice Emeka Nwite of the Federal High Court in Abuja refusing to grant some injunctive reliefs contained in an ex-parte application filed by a chieftain of the party, Nafiu Bala Gombe.

A five-member panel of the Supreme Court, led by Justice Mohammed Garba chose the date on Tuesday after granting accelerated hearing in the appeal marked:  SC/CV/180/2026.

The court ordered Mark’s lawyer, Jibril Okutepa (SAN) to file the appellant’s brief and serve on Wednesday.

It ordered the respondents to each file and serve on the appellant, a respondent’s brief within three days of being served with the appellant’s brief.

The appellant, according to the court, is to file a reply brief, if needs be, within one day of being served with the respondents’ briefs.

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Amid Denials, ADC Reportedly Secures Rainbow Event Centre As Venue for National Convention

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Baring any last minute change, the leadership of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) under Senator David Mark and Rauf Aregbesola as National chairman and National Secretary respectively will hold the party’s National convention at the National Rainbow Event Centre in Garki on Tuesday, 14 April 2026.

The African Democratic Congress (ADC)  has being denied two venues without any cogent reasons despite early arrangements, according to sources.

First, it was alleged that the Abuja Transcorp Hilton Hotels, which was initially approached, turned down the ADC request to use it’s facility.

The ADC, having sensed sabotage, has kept the Rainbow Event Center under rap as it’s definite venue.

The last National Executive Committee (NEC) of the party was held at the same venue.

Located adjacent the Nigerian Police Force Headquarters, the event centre will host the second NEC meeting of the ADC and it’s forthcoming national convention.

According to The Guardian’ report, the ADC leadership has communicated the venue to state chapters with the caveat not to escalate it.

The ADC is in a battle of survival against the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and has approached the Supreme Court for intervention.

The INEC national chairman Prof Joash Amupitan has suspended recognition of the David Mark-led ADC rendering a leadership vacuum in the party.

INEC said it’s decision was on the basis of an Appeal Court pronouncement that ordered statusquo ante-bellum be maintained.

Sources said the ADC has officially written the Inspector General of Police (IGP) Olatunji Disu for police protection, the Director of State Services and the Comptroller of Civil Defence Corps.

Reports say that why the venue is being quietly decorated moderately for the event, the ADC intends to fully move in the early hours of Tuesday.

The Guardian

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