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Opinion: How Nigerians May Vote, State by State: Buhari, Atiku in Tight, Tough Race as Feb 16 Closes in

Published

7 years ago

February 3, 2019

Eric

With just 13 days to the February 16 presidential election, the dynamics of the race for the nation’s top job indicate an interestingly tight and tough contest between the two leading candidates of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Alhaji Atiku Abubakar and the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), Muhammadu Buhari.

This latest development is not only evidenced by the frenzy of their campaigns, which has seen both candidates traverse many states and across the geo-political zones, but more strongly connected to the degree of acceptability that the two candidates enjoy, in what is fast becoming a popularity contest.

THISDAY’s recent field intelligence gathering, which reports a tight and tough contest, however, presents both state-by-state and geo-political zone analyses of what is obtainable by each of the two front-runners in the states, thus giving an evolving picture of what might ultimately be the regional standing of the candidates and their parties.

North-west
In the Kano, for instance, the race pictures a 65 per cent victory for Buhari and 35 per cent for Atiku, In Kaduna, while Buhari is likely to get 55 per cent of the votes cast, Atiku may post just 45 per cent. The race in Katsina is a no-contest as Buhari is sure to secure 70 per cent to Atiku’s 30 per cent.
In Sokoto, Buhari manages an edge over Atiku with 55 to 45 per cent sharing, but in Zamfara, the contest promises a 50-50 contest. Kebbi looks comfortable for Buhari with a 60 per cent advantage over Atiku’s 40 per cent.

Thus, in the North-west, Buhari is sure of victory in at least five states, albeit with varying winning percentages, with a draw in one with Atiku.
Buhari is certain to prevail in Jigawa with a 60/40 mergin over Atiku.

North-east
The dynamics in North East varies differently from the North West, because here, in Bauchi for example, Buhari is sure of some 60 per cent to Atiku’s 40, while in Borno and in spite of the growing insurgency, the votes will still go the way of Buhari, also with 60 to 40 per cent voting.

Atiku will put up a good showing in Adamawa with a 65 per cent advantage, leaving Buhari with 35 per cent. Moving on to Yobe, Buhari is positioned to score 60 per cent, leaving 40 for Atiku and the same equation is shared in Gombe – 60/40 – also in favour of Atiku. But the Taraba contest is a different one as it sees Atiku coasting home with 70 per cent and 30 for Buhari.

Here in the North East, both candidates would have a very tight race with the states shared three each.

North -central
The battle for North Central appears an all-Atiku affair, because Benue is determined to deliver Atiku with 70 per cent, while leaving 30 per cent for Buhari. Plateau, although slightly tough, would also deliver Atiku with 55 per cent, while conceding 45 per cent to Buhari. A repeat of this is likely in Nasarawa, where Atiku might go home with 55 per cent and Buhari, 45 per cent.
Kogi State’s battle also looks good for Atiku even though with the same 55/45 sharing formula. But Niger might go the way of Buhari with 55 per cent to Atiku’s 45 per cent. However, Kwara is solidly PDP and would deliver Atiku but with 55 per cent to Buhari’s 45 per cent.
The summary here is five states for Atiku and one for Buhari.

South-west
Considered the real battleground because of the number of votes that is up for grab, the race in South-west is unavoidably tight. In Oyo, for example, Buhari will certainly top with 55 per cent, while Atiku gets the remaining 45 per cent of the vote count. But in Osun, the situation is too close to call and might flip either way. Is a 50/50 chance. The Osun equation is unlikely to be repeated in Ondo, which may give Buhari 55 per cent and Atiku 45 per cent.

Buhari appears comfortable in Ekiti, where he may likely get his highest votes in the zone with 60 per cent to Atiku’s 40 per cent. Interestingly, however, Ogun too may go the way of Atiku with 55 per cent to Buhari’s 45 per cent, because of the many factors that are currently playing out in the state. But the Lagos battle is a 50-50 ratio. The dynamics are quite intricate.

Curiously, the South-west goes the way of Atiku with three states to Buhari’s two, while drawing in one, Lagos.

South-east
Further South, the battle for the soul of South-east is almost predictable even without the enabling field work. This is because the entire zone would go the way of PDP, although with different percentages accruable to each state.

Starting with Imo, the heartland of the South-east, Atiku is sure of at least 60 per cent of the votes with 40 per cent concession to Buhari. The same ratio is obtainable in Abia, God’s own state: 60-40 in favour of Atiku. Ebonyi too is sharing her votes in the same 60-40 pattern, also in favour of Atiku, while Enugu, which is South-east safest state for the PDP, boasts 70 per cent for Atiku and 30 per cent for Buhari. In Anambra, where Peter Obi’s home-zone advantage is certain to work for Atiku, the PDP candidate stands to get 60 per cent votes to Buhari’s 40 per cent. The final analysis in this zone sees Atiku clearing all the five states.

South-south
Similar to what obtains in South-east, the entire South-south too might go the way of PDP, with votes contingent on their voting strengths.

Rivers promises to deliver the PDP with a percentage of 80 to 20 in favour of Atiku, while Cross River will post 70 per cent for Atiku and 30 per cent for Buhari. Akwa Ibom, despite the current state of play, will still deliver PDP with 60 per cent and concede 40 to Buhari.

Edo will deliver the PDP with 55 per cent, leaving Buhari with the remaining 45 per cent. In Delta too, the PDP will post some 75 per cent for Atiku and 25 per cent for Buhari, while Bayelsa, though with a relatively small voting strength, will hugely deliver Atiku’s PDP with 80 per cent, leaving the remaining 20 per cent for Buhari.

The South-south analysis also sees Atiku clearing the entire six states. As for the Federal Capital Territory, FCT, it looks like a 50/50 chance for the two candidates. And may go either way.

Featured

Alleged Assassination Attempt on Yerima: Nigerians Divided, Call for Investigation

Published

4 hours ago

November 17, 2025

Eric

Nigerians were last night divided over the report that Navy Lieutenant Ahmad M. Yerima narrowly escaped an assassination attempt in Abuja, with many now questioning whether the incident happened exactly as described.

Initial reports from multiple news platforms claimed Yerima was trailed by two unmarked Hilux vans without number plates, prompting a high-speed chase and a “tactical manoeuvre” that allegedly saved his life.

The report quoted military sources who said the vehicles allegedly followed him from the NIPCO Filling Station off the Line Expressway to Gado Nasco Way at about 6:30p.m.

The source added that the matter is under investigation and is receiving “the seriousness it deserves,” noting that further details are being withheld so as not to compromise the process.

The development comes days after Yerima, while on duty with other security personnel, engaged in a tense confrontation with FCT Minister Nyesom Wike over a disputed land site in Gaduwa District. The clash, captured on viral videos, sparked widespread public debate and prompted intervention from the Presidency, which subsequently halted the demolition exercise at the site.

But as the story spreads, so do doubts. Critics argue that the details remain vague and rely heavily on Yerima’s personal account, with no confirmed CCTV footage, eyewitness statements, or official security briefings to back the claims. Some security analysts say the descriptions sound “too cinematic,” raising the possibility of misinterpretation or exaggeration.

Adding to the skepticism is the timing of the report, coming just days after Yerima’s viral confrontation with Wike over a halted demolition exercise. While social media users have tried to link both events, officials insist there is no evidence connecting Wike or any political figure to the alleged chase.

Already, military veterans nationwide have criticised Wike for verbally insulting the officer and rejected calls for disciplinary action against Yerima. Spokesman for the Coalition of Retired Veterans, Abiodun Durowaiye-Herberts, warned that ex-service members would “occupy the office and residence of the FCT Minister” if the officer faced any punishment.

Many others want clarity: Was the officer truly targeted, or is this a case of panic amplified by public emotion and online speculation? Investigators are yet to provide answers.

Featured

Glo Signs Interconnectivity Deal with Imo Govt to Enhance Digital Economy

Published

19 hours ago

November 16, 2025

Eric

Glo signs interconnectivity deal with Imo Govt to Enhance Digital Economy

Digital solutions provider, Globacom, has signed a landmark Internet connectivity agreement with the Imo State Government through its Ministry of Digital Economy and e-Governance.

Globacom disclosed in a press statement that the deal which is the largest single fixed Internet connectivity project in the history of Globacom’s Enterprise Business Group marks a significant milestone in the State’s drive towards achieving a fully digital economy, e-governance structure, and the establishment of a Smart City in Owerri, the state capital.

According to the telecommunications giant, the deal accentuates its pivotal role in delivering robust telecommunications infrastructure and next-generation digital solutions across Nigeria and beyond. The project will empower the company to provide high-capacity Internet connectivity to critical locations within the State, including the Smart City project in Owerri—home to 15 mega buildings—as well as the Ministry of Digital Economy and e-Governance, and the Imo State University for Innovation, Science and Technology, formerly Imo State Polytechnic.

Said Glo, “Our Glo-1 submarine cable, which connects Nigeria directly to Europe through our privately-owned international fibre optic network, will form the backbone of this ambitious project. The Glo-1 infrastructure guarantees superior bandwidth capacity, minimal latency, and highly secures connections, making it ideal for supporting the State’s digital transformation agenda and enhancing the efficiency of public services”.

The company added that the partnership with the Imo State Government will strengthen its commitment to providing reliable, high-quality connectivity that drives socio-economic progress and bridges the digital divide across Nigeria.

Furthermore, Globacom said: “We are honoured by the confidence reposed in Globacom by His Excellency, the Executive Governor of Imo State, Chief Hope Uzodinma and his team,” adding that “This partnership is a testament to our technical capability, nationwide coverage, and proven efficiency in delivering enterprise-grade connectivity solutions. We will work closely with the State’s technical team to ensure timely delivery of the project and to support Imo’s vision of a thriving digital economy.”

“Imo State is setting a remarkable example for other states in Nigeria by leveraging technology to improve governance, education, and business efficiency. “We applaud the Governor’s focus on empowering the youth and building an innovation-driven economy. This partnership aligns perfectly with Globacom’s mission to power Nigeria’s digital future, enhance the State’s strategic investments in digital infrastructure and training initiatives for young people which will create new employment opportunities, stimulate innovation, and accelerate sustainable economic growth”.

Globacom has sustained its imposing presence in every region of Nigeria backed by its resilient network that traverses West Africa. The company has its footprints in digital connectivity solutions for both public and private sectors. Its advanced infrastructure — anchored on the Glo-1 international fibre network, extensive metro fibre coverage, and resilient enterprise systems — ensure that institutions, governments, and businesses can rely on seamless, secure, and scalable connectivity.

The network called on other state administrations to emulate Imo State’s bold initiative by embracing strategic digital partnerships saying, “The future belongs to states and nations that invest in technology and connectivity. We encourage other governments to partner with Globacom in building digital infrastructures that can power education, commerce, governance, and innovation. Together, we can strengthen regional economies, create opportunities for millions, and drive poverty out of our communities.”

Featured

From Dubai to the World: The Prolific, Beautiful Story of Profound Realtors

Published

3 days ago

November 14, 2025

Eric

By Eric Elezuo

There are realtors and there are realtors. There are real estate firms and there are real estate firms. However, of a truth some stand out in the midst of others, towering in class, beauty, aesthetics, affordability and delivery. One of such real estate companies that has shown class and originality is the Profound Realtors, a statement made in Dubai, and transmitted to the entire world, with Africa gaining a substantial bite.

Profound Realtors boast of peace of mind, comfort and unquantified reach in the sense that properties are spotted, negotiated and delivered across the globe with just a touch of the button.

Consequently, anyone looking for an opportunity of property investment in Dubai should look no further because Profound Realtors, with a team of highly trained professionals and properties of different beautiful shapes and sizes, is the sure bet.

Profound Realtors has a pedigree rooted in honesty, integrity and trust. It is not one of the best in the continent; it is the best, offering affordability as a standard rule, clear cut and prompt delivery as well as a promise of money-back.

Run by the Ashfaq Hassain as the Chief Executive Officer, the company is trailed by stories of good tidings and testimonies of forthrightness.

Below are detailed reasons Profound Realtors must be the preferred choice

Profound Realtors is a premier real estate company specializing in buying, selling, and leasing properties in Dubai. With years of industry expertise and an in-depth understanding of Dubai’s dynamic property market, we take pride in being a trusted partner for clients looking to make wise real estate decisions.

Why Choose Profound Realtors?

1. Extensive Property Portfolio

We offer an extensive selection of properties, ranging from luxurious ready-made apartments to ambitious off plan developments in Dubai’s most sought-after locations. Whether you’re looking to buy properties in Business Bay or other prime areas, we have you covered. For international investors looking to invest in Dubai from USA, our expert team ensures a seamless and secure buying experience.We also provide a variety of options if you’re seeking a property for rent in Business Bay, perfect for professionals and families alike.

2. Expert Guidance

Navigating the Dubai real estate market can be overwhelming, but with Profound Realtors, you’re in capable hands. Our team of dedicated real estate agents in Dubai will provide you with personalized advice, in-depth market insights, and the latest trends to help you make informed decisions, whether you’re exploring various communities or planning to buy properties in Blue Water Island for a premium waterfront lifestyle.

3. Trustworthy Relationships

At Profound Realtors, we believe that strong relationships are the foundation of success. Our commitment to transparency, integrity, and exceptional customer service has earned us the trust of numerous clients who have become part of our real estate family.

4. Off Plan Investment Opportunities

As Dubai continues to be a hub of innovation and architectural wonders, off plan properties present unparalleled investment prospects. We offer a diverse range of off plan projects, allowing you to invest in tomorrow’s iconic landmarks today.

5. Ready-Made Homes for Every Lifestyle

If you prefer a home that is move-in ready, we have an array of stunning ready-made properties. From chic urban apartments to elegant villas nestled in serene communities, we have options to cater to diverse tastes and budgets.

WHAT PROFOUND REALTORS DOES FOR CLIENTS

1. Buying and Selling

Whether you are a first-time homebuyer or an experienced investor, we assist you throughout the entire buying and selling process. From property search and price negotiation to paperwork and settlement, we ensure a smooth and stress-free experience.

2. Leasing and Property Management

If you’re looking to lease your property or need help managing your investment, our team offers comprehensive property management services to maximize your rental income and ensure your property is well-maintained.

3. Investment Consultation:

For investors seeking to capitalize on the Dubai real estate market, our experts provide tailored investment advice, helping you identify high-yield opportunities that align with your financial objectives.

Why Invest in Dubai?

Dubai’s real estate market remains an attractive destination for both local and international investors. With a thriving economy, world-class infrastructure, tax-free benefits, and a high standard of living, Dubai offers a compelling environment for property investment.

Start Your Journey with Profound Realtors

Discover the limitless possibilities that Dubai’s real estate market offers with Profound Realtors. Whether you are searching for a dream home, an investment property, or expert advice, our team is dedicated to making your real estate journey an exceptional one.
Contact us today to explore the best of Dubai’s ready-made and off plan properties. Let Profound Realtors be your guide to unlocking the true potential of Dubai’s real estate landscape.

Speaking to The Boss on the proficiency of Profound, Mr Hassain noted that “Fortunately, at Profound Realtors, we have experienced realtors who are there for your rescue. Whether you have set your eyes on luxury villas in Dubai, or want to buy properties in Dubai Marina, or even invest in Dubai. Our team of RERA-certified experts is here to assist you with every step of your journey to buying your next family home or a profitable rental.”

MORE OF THE IMPACTS OF PROFOUND REALTORS

Profound is proud to provide answers to questions as regards the purchase of properties, its value and the accruals when one patronize Profound to get a Dubai-based property.

Consider the following as derived the company’s website:

Real Estate in Dubai

If you want to invest in villas for sale in Dubai or want to buy properties in JBR, you are in for a treat, as Dubai’s diversified market offers options to suit every taste and budget. If you are an investor, this real estate market can be the best stepping stone on your path to success, as this market offers one of the best infrastructures that you can encounter, with strong potential for long-term returns.

Realtors in the UAE

The profession of realtors in UAE has grown speedily alongside the growth of Real estate in Dubai. Going through every possible option of properties, be it in the buzzing city of Dubai or the cultural city of Sharjah, can be an overwhelming task. To simplify this tedious job, you can take advantage of realtors who can act as a bridge connecting you with suitable properties. At Profound Realtors, we focus on guiding you through every option with clarity and care, helping you ease your way into understanding local neighborhoods, property laws, and the lifestyle that comes with each investment.

Dubai’s real estate market is an exciting opportunity, but it can also be a lot to take in. Fortunately, our expert realtors in Dubai are here to guide you so that you can turn this complex project into an easy mission. We at profound realtors have worked with enough people to understand each client’s unique needs. This is also the reason why we offer personalized assistance. This provides you with advice on what is best suited for your specific goals. We offer assistance every step of the way, from in-depth market analysis to skillful negotiation and managing transactions, ensuring a fruitful experience.

We are aware that navigating through Dubai’s real estate market can be especially difficult for investors who want to invest in Dubai from UK, the USA, or anywhere abroad. The best real estate companies in Dubai don’t believe in cookie-cutter services and know these investments are not just another transaction but a deeply personal story. It’s a process filled with hurdles and questions, that’s exactly where profound realtors come in.

WHY YOU MUST BUY A PROFOUND REALTORS FACILITATED DUBAI PROPERTY

1. A tax-free environment is a great opportunity for every professional living in Dubai. The realtors in Dubai can keep a larger sum of their earnings compared to any other country. This policy is what attracts many individuals to this profession.

2. Dubai’s real estate can be an excellent opportunity for investors who are after high-demand areas like Downtown Dubai and Dubai Marina, which can bring them high returns on their investments. However, it’s important to take help from a local real estate expert to get a know-how about fluctuating market trends and make an informed decision.

3. One can invest in Dubai from Africa, USA, or anywhere outside Dubai. The government has also set aside designated freehold areas where foreigners can easily buy villas for sale in Dubai and own 100 percent of the property. Both residential and commercial properties are included in these freehold areas.

4. If you are looking for better rental yields and an enhanced lifestyle, you can choose to buy properties in Dubai Marina, as it’s more accessible. Whereas if you are after better long-term investment and exclusivity, Palm Jumeirah can be a better option.

5. JBR appeals more to tourists and families who require beachside living options. It can be a good investment as JBR has a bigger unit size. This makes it eligible to be listed on Airbnb during peak tourist periods.

6. Anyone can invest in Dubai from the UK, because of Dubai’s freehold areas and no tax policy, it has become a central hub for international investors, business owners, and residents alike.

7. Anyone can invest in Dubai from the USA. It’s way easier and beneficial to invest in Dubai from the USA because of the designated freehold areas and the no-tax policy. Another reason is the Dubai Land Department, which oversees transactions of real estate in Dubai, ensuring secure and transparent payments.

The opportunity is endless, and African investors, looking for honesty transactions, with peace of mind, just have to settle for PROFOUND REALTORS.