By Babatunde Jose
Despite the abundant God-given land that literally flows with milk and honey, we have decided to go hungry and beg for bread. It is a conscious act borne out of the Dutch disease we contacted as a result of the oil boom (doom) that led us to walk away from our farmlands to seek food from the city as a result of the rapid urbanization the new prosperity brought.
The underlying cause can be traced to the tinkering with our federal structure by the military and the imposition of a unitary political system to suit the military command structure, which was eventually bequeathed to the civil administrations of the 4th Republic, and which has elicited the loud outcry for restructuring.
The derailment of our federal system turned the successors states into parasitic political entities. States are no longer dependent on internally generated revenue, hence, no need to boost the production of cocoa, groundnuts, palm oil and rubber (which were the mainstay of our economy). Neither was the need to promote agriculture for food security.
For a country richly blessed by nature, we are endowed with a variety of food crops and produce. We have rice, beans, yam, cassava, potatoes, and a myriad of other food crops. Unfortunately, we walked away from it all and today hunger, malnutrition, and poverty is the lot of our people.
Nigeria is the largest cassava producer globally, accounting for about one-fifth (21%) of total production worldwide. The demand for cassava and its constituents is high in the domestic economy. However, the supply has been unable to meet the huge demand.
It is estimated that Nigeria would need about 28.3 million metric tons of fresh cassava root planted annually on about 1.2 million hectares of land to meet the country’s demand for cassava, by-products, and derivatives.
Since the dawn of civilization, human societies and governments have made frantic efforts to harness available resources to improve the well-being and security of her citizens.
Food is a fundamental requirement for a healthy population, which is required for the survival of a country. The strategic and fundamental importance of food to human existence makes it an essential component of national planning that nations seek to attain and preserve.
In this regard, the government’s desire to meet the food needs of her citizens through food production is initiated through policies and processes that would enhance national development particularly in the real sectors of the economy (agriculture and manufacturing). Food security enhances national productivity that contributes to national development of a country.
Emphasis on increased food production as an essential ingredient for national development has assisted most developing economies to grow.
For instance, in the 1950s, food production played a vital role in the economy of Indonesia contributing about 35% of gross domestic product (GDP) and employing over 65% of the labor force (FAO, 2011). However, it was relegated when Indonesia experienced two oil booms from 1974 to 1981 which dominated the economy. By 1998, the economy had a −13.1% contraction leading to endemic poverty. Accordingly, the country experienced a decline in food production, and this led to a reliance on food importation.
The need to reverse the decline in food production forced the Government in 2012, to focus on production in key crops such as rice and cassava by providing special interests on loans for agricultural inputs. This resulted in Indonesia increasing processing from an average of 24.3 million tons of cassava in 2010 to 25.23 million tons in 2015. This led to increased food production by about 3.8%. Furthermore, GDP increased from US$755.1 to US$861.9 billion over the period and represented about 14.14% GDP growth. It further reduced the unemployment rate from 6.88% to 5.81% as well as reduced the poverty index from 13.3% to 11.15% over the same period (ILO, 2016). Consequently, food production through cassava processing in Indonesia led to job creation, poverty reduction, and economic development, which positively contributed to national development.
It is against the need for an enhanced national development as witnessed in Indonesia that the Federal government of Nigeria had in recent years been emphasizing diversification of the nation’s economy and reduction on her reliance on oil as Nigeria’s major source of revenue. The fluctuation in oil prices and its attendant consequences of revenue shortfall has thus reinforces the need for diversification of the nation’s economy from the oil sector to the agricultural sector.
Cassava is regarded as the most widely cultivated root crop in the tropical region and the sixth most important crop (after wheat, rice, maize, potato, and barley) in the world.
Thailand is the leading exporter of cassava followed by Vietnam and Cambodia though her production level was not as high as that of Nigeria. Moreover, China, Japan, and Indonesia are among the world leading importer of cassava products.
Apart from Cassava, Nigeria is also the world’s largest producer of yam, cowpea, and sorghum. It is estimated that more than 90% of cassava production is processed into food. But a large industrial demand exists for cassava, primarily as substitution for imported raw materials and semi-finished products. There is high demand for High Quality Cassava Flour (HQCF), primarily from 10% replacement in bread flour and for use in bouillon, noodles, and the adhesive industry. Similarly, it is useful in the production of native and modified starches. It is also useful in the paint, pharmaceutical and sweetener industries.
Over 70 percent of Nigerians engage in the agriculture sector mainly at a subsistence level. Despite the contribution to the economy, Nigeria’s agricultural sector faces many challenges which impact on its productivity. These include poor land tenure system, low level of irrigation farming, climate change and land degradation. Others are low technology, high production cost and poor distribution of inputs, limited financing, high post-harvest losses and poor access to markets due to infrastructural deficits.
These challenges have stifled agricultural productivity, affecting the sector’s contribution to the country’s GDP as well as increased food imports due to population rise hence declining levels of food sufficiency. In July 2023, the Q2 report of the National Bureau of Statistics stated that agriculture contributed 21.07 per cent to the nominal GDP, a decline from the same period in 2022. Nigeria’s agricultural sector is said to comprise four sub-activities: crop production, livestock, forestry, and fishing.
The Government has implemented several initiatives and programs to address the situation including the Agriculture Promotion Policy (APP), Nigeria–Africa Trade and Investment Promotion Program, Presidential Economic Diversification Initiative, Economic and Export Promotion Incentives and the Zero Reject Initiative, Reducing Emission from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+); Nigeria Erosion and Watershed Management Project (NEWMAP); Action Against Desertification (AAD) Program, Economic Growth Recovery Plan (EGRP) and Agricultural Transformation Agenda (ATA) and Anchor Borrowers Scheme are among several policy reforms measures put in place to achieve Nigeria’s diversification objective.
All these efforts aim to increase agricultural productivity in order to provide sufficient quantities of food to meet domestic demand as well as an abundance of commodity crops for export.
Nigeria is the largest fish consumer in Africa and among the largest fish consumers in the world with about 3.2 million metric tons of fish consumed annually. Its fisheries and aquaculture are among the fastest growing sub-sectors in the country. But much still needs to be done.
With a coastline of 853km and over 14 million hectares of inland waters, total fish production per year is close to 1 million metric tons (313,231 metric tons from aquaculture and 759,828 metric tons from fisheries). Fishing is a vital livelihood for the poor as well as an important protein source at the household level in Nigeria.
With the increasing population, estimated to reach 400 million by 2050, enhanced agriculture productivity through adaptation of new technologies and innovations is necessary to ensure food security and nutrition. Support from all partners to the efforts by the federal and state governments is central for achieving this goal.
With Nigeria sitting as the world’s largest producer of cassava, having a world share of 20.4% it is yet to harness the enormous possibilities and wealth embedded in the cassava sub-sector. In order to achieve a remarkable growth in the cassava sub-sector, the following points are recommended.
Incentives must be given to farmers and processors and other stakeholders along the value chain in order to boost cassava production and total export value.
Reliable and consistent trade policies that favour the growth of cassava production, consumption and utilization must be implemented and properly monitored.
Issues relating to cassava glut should be tackled by the government in order to encourage cassava farmers with an assurance that there is a ready market for their production with guaranteed minimum price.
The Nigerian government must enforce the policies on 10% inclusion (replacement of wheat flour) of HQCF in bread making and blending gasoline with 10% ethanol (E-10) while providing an enabling environment for its effective implementation.
Our governments have been paying lip service to the need for diversification of the economy. Rather policy somersaults and prevarication. We banned and unbanned rice importation, we failed to follow policy guidelines on revitalization of agriculture. Yet we borrow money to spend on frivolities. Our farms are in tatters and our people are starving. It took Indonesia only three years to turn around its economy. We have been at it for over 30 years. All we do is talk, but talk will not fill the belly of our people.
According to Bismark Rewane, the country’s domestic environment is “caught in a web of economic contradictions” and there was a “disconnection between policy direction and economic destination.” But we are still caught up, Bismark himself was in Buhari’s economic Think-Tank. The ‘contradictions continue!
No fewer than 26.5 million Nigerians are projected to grapple with high level of food insecurity in 2024, according to a joint statement last week by the World Food Program (FAO), UNICEF, the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs and the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security.
People are hungry and angry. There are grumblings in the city. Hmmmmm! The revolution beckons!
May Allah guide us aright.
Barka Juma’at and Happy weekend.
