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The Oracle: Nigeria in Search of Enduring Political Structure: Imperative of Structural Reform (Pt. 4)

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By Mike Ozekhome

INTRODUCTION

In the last part of this discussion, after posing the question: Have we really been doomed? We answered it in the negative and went ahead to highlight notable achievements by Nigerians. We wondered whether Nigeria is a failed State. In this episode, we shall consider the phenomenon of insecurity in Nigeria and how it laid waste to large swathes of Nigeria and rendered its governments (particularly states) prostrate. Read on.

INSECURITY REIGNS SUPREME

In terms of security, Nigeria is becoming a killing field. The daily slaughter ritual in Nigeria that has turned the Nigerian geographical space into a killing field is not only criminal, but also smacks of total abdication of governance by the current government. It is most cruel, hideous, horrific, inhuman, dastardly and barbaric. The latest theatre of the absurd is Plateau state, where hundreds of innocent and helpless Nigerians, especially the most vulnerable (children, women and elderly), have been mindlessly hacked down in cold blood. Nigerians have become “walking corpses” or “the living dead” (apologies, AyiKwei Armah: “The Beautiful Ones Are not yet Born”). The government that appears overtly overwhelmed (if it ever cared at all), wrings its hands in utter helplessness and blames everything and any one, but itself. PMB says he can only pray to God for miracles. The Commander-in-Chief (C-in–C) in saying this, breaks the heart and freely donates to the citizens, helplessness and hopelessness. What is the military there for, since the Police has been overrun? Sections 130 (2) and 215 (3) of the Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1999, as altered, make the President the C-in-C of both the Armed Forces and the Police. Never before, or after the three year bloody Nigerian fratricidal civil war has Nigeria witnessed such barefaced butchery of innocent souls in a most horrendous manner that portends ethnic cleansing and genocidal tendencies.

The entire security architecture of Nigeria has been greatly compromised and doctored. The Nigerian Constitution (section 14 (2) (b), makes the welfare and security of lives and property the primary purpose of government. Any government that cannot protect its citizens is not worth being called a government by any description or appellation. We have become a laughing stock before international circles. We make merriment and hold political rallies on the cold graves of hot steaming blood of innocent Nigerians. We wanted to win the world cup at all cost, amidst vengeful slaughter of fellow Nigerians. But, God is a just and righteous God. He does not tolerate injustice, wickedness. He does not condone unearned adulation and hero-worshipping: The Bible: Job 34:12; Col 3:25; Deut 10:18; 32:4; Isaiah 30:18. The Holy Quran: 5:8; 16:90; 59: 22-24. Die hard politicians are already busy, politicking about 2019, while our citizens are daily massacred in cold blood. A governor that is supposed to be the Chief Security Officer of his state is nothing but a mere toothless crying bulldog, having been stripped of such luxury of controlling powers by sections 215 (4) of the Constitution. This section enthrones a behemoth, elephantine and immobile Police Force at the center, with the governor at the mercy of the IGP and president. That is why I have, over the years, consistently and persistently clamoured for true fiscal federalism that allows for state Police and community policing. From Agatu, Naka and Agasha in Benue state, Demsa, Suwa and Burukulu in Adamawa state, Riyom, BarkinLadi and Jos in Plateau state, to Birnin-Gwari, Dangaji, UnguwarGajere in Kaduna State; from Izza, Wudula, Blakule and Darajimal in Borno State; to Takum, Shaakaa, Donga and Ntule in Taraba State; to Maraban –Udege Village, Aisa and Aguma in Nassarawa State; from Ugbona, Okpella, Odiguetue and Igiode in Edo State, Nigeria knows no peace. Things have fallen apart. The falcon can no longer hear the falconer.

Even in Uwheru, Oreba, Ovwor, Onicha-Olona and Abraka in Delta State; to Okpanku, Ozzala, UkpabiNimbo, Ngwoko, Ebor, Umuome, Ugwuijoro and Ugwuachara in Enugu State, the story is the same: gory and hideous blood-letting and festival of blood. The greatest worry of it all is that these killers are not ghosts or apparitions. They are known. They even come out openly, thump their chests, confess and own up to their criminal acts. The Herdsmen umbrella, Miyetti-Allah, claimed the blood-chilling murder of over 200 Plateau citizens was because 300 of its cows were rustled. It boasted that no one could have expected peace without retaliation, under such circumstances. The same group has, over time, infamously given various reasons for its herdsmen’s killings: Nimbo massacre, Enugu State (deadly attack): “we killed because they stole our cows”. Benue State (several progroms): “we killed because of anti-grazing law”. Taraba State (several): “we killed because they blocked our grazing routes”. Adamawa State (many Communities): “we killed because they broke our cow’s leg”. Zamfara State: “we killed because the farmers said we were grazing on their farm lands”. Haba!

A PROSTRATE GOVERNMENT

Nearly seven years down the line, there have been no arrests, no prosecution, no arraignment, no convictions. Rather, some five Christians were arrested in Adamawa, tried and sentenced to death by hanging, for allegedly killing one Fulani herdsman. Some lives are now more precious than others. Rather than kill cow for meal to celebrate occasions, as we know it, we now kill human beings to celebrate cows. The government not only looks the other way, but actually condones the heartless cold-blooded slaughter. Nigeria cannot continue like this. The federal government must rise up to the occasion, draft military personnel to these volatile areas and wash its hands off, like Pontius Pilate, of compromise, condonation, aiding and abetting, of this national horror. The saddest and deepest of all the national cuts and travesty of justice is that there is no one to complain to. The president himself, the very C–in–C, who had promised to lead from the front during his campaigns in 2015, wrings his hands in utter helplessness, and moans (like any of us):“There is nothing I can do to help the situation except to pray to God to help us out of the security challenges”.

Interpretation: “I am helpless; Be prepared to take what you get”. But, the Holy Bible tells us that “God helps those who help themselves” (Hezekiah 6:1). In 2 Thessalonians 3:10, we are admonished that “the one who is unwilling to work shall not eat”. In the Holy Quran, it is, “Allah helps those who help themselves” 13:11; (Tafsir of Chapter 022 verse 40). Is the president being fed the true and genuine situation of horrific and grisly events across Nigeria? Can he, when virtually all his security apparatchik consists of nepotic and cronystic appointees from his ethnic and religious groups only: Minister of Defence, Minister of Interior, Chief of Army Staff, Chief of Air Staff, IGP, DSS, EFCC, Immigration, Customs, NSCDC, Prisons, NSA, C of S, etc, etc? Are we in the Fulani Republic of Nigeria, or Republic of Northern Nigeria?

The non-prosecution of these marauding herdsmen has emboldened them to commit more crimes. Daily carnage and spilling of innocent blood have become the norm. Nigerians now appear unshockable. Many lamentably try to justify this modern day genocide with partisan political interpretations, pretending all is well. Meanwhile, Nigeria dies by installment. Most Nigerians have become more cowardly than ever before, afraid even of their own shadows. Nigerians should stand and speak up before we are all eclipsed in dismemberment. Reasonating voices appear suddenly mute. Where is the “Occupy Nigeria” group that vehemently protested against GEJ across Nigeria, especially in Lagos and Abuja. Even PMB had himself joined them. Where is General Yakubu Gowon and his praying Orchestral? Where is the voice of gap-toothed IBB? What of roving Ambassador, General Abdusallam Abubakar? Where is GEJ’s voice (even if he will be accused of partisanship, having lost the last elections)? Where are the human rights activists, emergency NGOs proprietors, CSOs, FBOs, etc? I cannot hear the voice of strong willed Ebitu Ukiwe? Where is respected Col. Dangiwa?

Why is everyone keeping silent when Nigeria is sliding towards totalitarianism, absolutism and even fascism? May God forbid “Ruandanization” of our already beleaguered contraption called Nigeria. Perhaps, to prick government’s conscience on the daily butchery of innocent Nigerians in their homes and farms, and the consequential seizure and renaming of their ancestral communities, we should implement the recent suggestion of my good friend, Senator Shehu Sani. He said: “We need a graveyard in the three arms zone of Abuja so that victims of the mindless killings in the country can be buried close to the seat of power. Then the Executive, Legislators & the Judiciary can feel the pains of the helpless widows and orphans we failed to protect.” Nigerians are crying. There is lamentation in the land. There is gnashing of teeth. Melancholy, despondency, hopelessness and regrets stare people in the face. These times are frightening.

Public trust that had initially been ballooned to a myth and anchored on the dizzying height of change mantra and PMB’s much touted integrity, has since considerably dwindled to a near zero level. Hear the sorrowful dirge of a victim of the Plateau genocide, Paul Wyom Zakka: “They told us to go to the farms because they could not provide us with jobs. We went to the farms without knowing that our produce were meant to feed their cows. When the cows came, we stopped them from destroying our farm produce; Today, they kill us daily so their cows can feed.” Thomas Jefferson, American president from 1801 to 1809, once famously said: “Does the government fear us? Or do we fear the government? When governments fear the people, there is liberty. When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. The strongest reason for the people to retain the right to keep and bear arms is, as a last resort, to protect themselves against tyranny in government”.

From the forgoing it can be seen that, in the words of Sulaimon Olanrewaju (lanresulaimon@yahoo.com), Nigeria is a paradox; so wealthy, yet so poor; so endowed, yet so deprived. Nigeria makes more money than many countries of the world but is unfortunately ranked among the poorest because many Nigerians live below the poverty line as they earn less than two dollars a day. According to the Brookings Institution in a report, The Start of a New Poverty Narrative, Nigeria is now home to the highest number of people living in extreme poverty on the globe. Similarly, a United Nations report on Nigeria’s Common Country Analysis, says youth unemployment is 42 per cent, while the United Nations Education, Scientific and Cultural Organisation (UNESCO) puts the number of out of school children at over 10.5million. Infant mortality rate is 85.8 of 1000 live births, while the country has the highest rate of under-five mortality in the world. Malnutrition prevalence, according to the UN, ranges between approximately 46.9 per cent in the South West to 74.3 per cent in North West and North East.” (To be continued).

THOUGHT FOR THE WEEK

“A restructuring of an organization and or society is always a difficult time and delicate”. (Toto Wolff).

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Opinion

Ovation @30: A Triumph of Vision, Courage and African Excellence

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By Dr. Sani Sa’idu Baba

There is an African proverb that says, “However long the night, the dawn will surely break.” No story embody this truth more powerfully than that of Chief Dele Momodu and the remarkable rise of Ovation International. Founded in April, 1996 at the height of the Sani Abacha regime, Ovation was born not out of comfort, but from adversity. In forced exile in London, faced with uncertainty and hardship, Momodu chose not to surrender to circumstance but to challenge it, daring to create a global lifestyle magazine at a time when Africa’s image was largely defined by negativity.

From that improbable beginning emerged a publication that would go on to redefine how Africa is seen by the world. Ovation introduced a different narrative, one of elegance, achievement, culture, and pride, documenting African success stories with unmatched consistency. At a time when global media often overlooked the continent’s brilliance, Ovation boldly projected it, celebrating milestones, personalities, and cultures across Africa and its diaspora. It became a powerful cultural bridge, connecting cities and continents while showcasing an Africa that is vibrant, accomplished, and globally relevant.

Over the past three decades, Ovation has not merely reported stories, it has shaped destinies and elevated generations. It has provided a platform for emerging talents in entertainment, business, and public life, often spotlighting individuals long before they attained global recognition. Its influence extended beyond storytelling into economic and social impact, creating employment for thousands across journalism, photography, real estate, design, and event production, while also setting new standards in lifestyle media, enterprenership and event documentation. Long before the rise of digital platforms, Ovation was already global, distributing African excellence to audiences around the world and strengthening the connection between Africa and its diaspora.

Through changing times and technological revolutions, Ovation International has remained consistent in quality, bold in vision, and authentic in purpose. Its ability to evolve without losing its identity is a testament to its strength as not just a magazine, but an enduring institution. Today, as it marks 30 years of impact, it stands as one of Africa’s most influential media platforms, one that has significantly contributed to reshaping global perception and asserting Africa’s place in the world.

This milestone is a celebration of resilience, vision, and legacy. It is a tribute to the pride of Africa Chief Dele Momodu, whose courage transformed hardship into history, and whose dream once considered unrealistic became a continental force. It is also a celebration of the entire Ovation family, whose dedication over the years has sustained and expanded this vision. Thirty years on, Ovation is not just a witness to Africa’s story, it is one of its most powerful storytellers.

A big thank you to Chief Dele Momodu for proving long ago that Africa is not synonymous with bad news, and congratulations on three decades of excellence proof that when the dawn finally comes, it can illuminate the world.

Dr. Sani Sa’idu Baba writes from Kano, and can be reached via drssbaba@yahoo.com

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Opinion

Effective Strategic Leadership: Resolving Nigeria’s Contemporary Challenges and Unlocking Inclusive Possibilities

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By Tolulope A. Adegoke PhD

In an era of complex global uncertainties, effective strategic leadership stands as a proven catalyst for national renewal. It is defined by deliberate vision, data-driven decision-making, ethical accountability, inclusive stakeholder engagement, and adaptive execution that prioritizes long-term societal value over short-term expediency. For Nigeria — Africa’s most populous nation and largest economy — such leadership offers a clear, actionable pathway to address the multifaceted crises that have constrained progress as of April 2026. These challenges include persistent insecurity, economic volatility, deepening poverty, human capital deficits, and governance implementation gaps. By applying strategic leadership principles, Nigeria can not only mitigate these issues but also deliver tangible possibilities across three critical spheres: empowered peoples (individuals and communities), thriving corporates (businesses and enterprises), and resilient nation-building (institutional and societal advancement). This solution-driven exposition draws on empirical realities while outlining practical, evidence-based strategies that align with international best practices in governance, development economics, and leadership studies.

Nigeria’s Current Realities: A Balanced Assessment

As documented in recent analyses from the World Bank, PwC’s Nigeria Economic Outlook 2026, and the Bertelsmann Transformation Index, Nigeria grapples with interconnected pressures. Security threats — ranging from insurgency and banditry in the North-East and North-West to farmer-herder conflicts in the Middle Belt, separatist agitations in the South-East, and expanding urban-rural criminal networks — have intensified, with conflict-related fatalities rising in 2025. These have displaced communities, disrupted agriculture, and eroded investor confidence. Economically, while macroeconomic reforms under the current administration have begun stabilizing inflation and foreign exchange, real growth remains uneven (projected around 4.3% for 2026), concentrated in services and ICT, while agriculture and manufacturing lag due to insecurity, infrastructure deficits, and high energy costs. Poverty is projected to affect approximately 62% of the population (around 141 million people) by the end of 2026, compounded by stagnant human capital outcomes: nutrition, learning, and skills deficits are estimated to cost children born today over half of their potential future earnings. Governance challenges, including corruption, patronage networks, and slow policy implementation, further undermine public trust and reform momentum. These issues are not insurmountable; they are symptoms of systemic gaps that effective strategic leadership can systematically address.

How Effective Strategic Leadership Solves Nigeria’s Core Challenges

Strategic leadership succeeds by diagnosing root causes, mobilizing collective resources, and implementing measurable reforms. In Nigeria’s context, it would prioritize five interconnected pillars: human capital investment, security sector transformation, economic diversification, institutional integrity, and inclusive governance.

  1. Tackling Insecurity Through Integrated, Intelligence-Led Strategies Effective leaders treat security as a human development imperative rather than purely militarized response. Solutions include professionalizing security forces with community policing models, advanced intelligence-sharing platforms, and technology-driven surveillance (drones, data analytics). Leadership would integrate socio-economic interventions — such as youth employment programs and livestock development initiatives — to address root drivers like poverty and resource competition. International benchmarks, such as Rwanda’s post-conflict security reforms or Colombia’s integrated peace-building approach, demonstrate that combining kinetic operations with development yields sustainable peace. In Nigeria, this would reduce fatalities, restore agricultural productivity, and rebuild public confidence.
  2. Reversing Economic Volatility and Poverty Through Targeted Reforms Strategic leadership would accelerate fiscal discipline, revenue diversification, and private-sector-led growth. This entails full implementation of tax reforms with transparency safeguards, investment in critical infrastructure (power, roads, digital connectivity), and incentives for agro-processing and renewable energy. By anchoring monetary policy to stabilize inflation and the naira while protecting vulnerable households through expanded social safety nets, leaders can ease cost-of-living pressures. PwC and World Bank data show that even modest improvements in human capital and security could unlock 2–3 percentage points of additional annual GDP growth, directly reducing poverty.
  3. Bridging Human Capital Deficits Through Education, Health, and Skills Ecosystems Leaders must treat people as the ultimate asset. Solutions include universal early childhood development programs, curriculum reforms emphasizing STEM and vocational skills, and public-private partnerships for healthcare and digital literacy. Evidence from Singapore and South Korea illustrates how sustained leadership focus on education transformed resource-scarce economies into global powerhouses. In Nigeria, reversing learning stagnation and nutrition gaps would boost future earnings and demographic dividends.
  4. Strengthening Institutional Integrity and Anti-Corruption Mechanisms Strategic leaders embed transparency through digital procurement, independent anti-corruption bodies with prosecutorial powers, and performance-based governance dashboards. Merit-based appointments and judicial reforms would dismantle patronage networks, enhancing policy execution and public trust.
  5. Fostering Inclusive and Adaptive Governance Leadership would promote national dialogue platforms, devolved responsibilities (e.g., state-level security coordination with federal standards), and youth/women inclusion in decision-making to reduce ethnic and regional tensions.

Delivering Possibilities Across Peoples, Corporates, and Nations

For Peoples (Individuals and Communities): Effective leadership empowers citizens by creating safe, opportunity-rich environments. Targeted investments in education, health, and skills would raise living standards, reduce vulnerability to recruitment by criminal elements, and foster social cohesion. Community-led development initiatives, supported by transparent local governance, would restore dignity and agency, enabling families to thrive rather than merely survive.

For Corporates (Businesses and Enterprises): Strategic leadership cultivates a predictable, investor-friendly climate. By securing supply chains, enforcing contracts, and offering incentives for innovation and local content, leaders enable businesses to expand, create quality jobs, and drive diversification. Corporate examples from Lagos tech hubs and emerging agro-industries already show that improved security and policy consistency accelerate growth; scaled nationally, this would attract foreign direct investment and position Nigerian enterprises as continental leaders.

For Nations (Nation-Building and Global Positioning): At the national level, such leadership builds resilient institutions, diversifies the economy beyond oil, and enhances Nigeria’s diplomatic and economic influence in Africa and beyond. Strengthened governance would improve global competitiveness rankings, deepen AfCFTA participation, and attract strategic partnerships. The result: a more cohesive, prosperous nation capable of contributing meaningfully to global development agendas such as the Sustainable Development Goals.

Global Relevance and Lessons for Nigeria

Globally, nations that have overcome similar challenges — Botswana’s resource-led but governance-driven success, Vietnam’s human-capital-focused reforms, or Estonia’s digital governance transformation — prove that strategic leadership consistently delivers results. Nigeria can adapt these models contextually, leveraging its youthful population, cultural diversity, and strategic location to become an African benchmark rather than a cautionary tale.

Actionable Recommendations for Immediate Implementation

  • Establish a National Strategic Leadership Academy for public and private sector leaders, emphasizing data analytics, ethics, and crisis management.
  • Launch a multi-stakeholder National Possibilities Commission to monitor progress on security, human capital, and economic diversification with quarterly public dashboards.
  • Prioritize public-private partnerships in security technology, education infrastructure, and agro-industrial zones.
  • Integrate youth and civil society into policy design through structured consultation mechanisms.
  • Benchmark progress against international indices (World Bank Human Capital Index, Global Peace Index, Ease of Doing Business) to ensure accountability.

Conclusion: A Call to Transformative Action

Effective strategic leadership is not an abstract ideal but a practical, results-oriented discipline that Nigeria can harness today. By confronting insecurity, economic fragility, and human capital deficits head-on through visionary, ethical, and inclusive approaches, leaders can resolve pressing crises and unlock unprecedented possibilities for individuals, businesses, and the nation as a whole. The global community stands ready to support credible, solution-driven efforts. Nigeria’s abundant human and natural endowments, combined with decisive leadership, position it to move from potential to prosperity — delivering a future where every citizen, enterprise, and institution contributes to and benefits from shared progress. The time for implementation is now; the rewards will define generations to come.

Dr. Tolulope A. Adegoke, AMBP-UN is a globally recognized scholar-practitioner and thought leader at the nexus of security, governance, and strategic leadership. His mission is dedicated to advancing ethical governance, strategic human capital development, and resilient nation-building, and global peace. He can be reached via: tolulopeadegoke01@gmail.comglobalstageimpacts@gmail.com

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Opinion

PDP Crisis: Illegal Factional Convention is a Direct Assault on Party Constitution and Democracy

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By Prince Adedipe Dauda Ewenla

The attention of party faithfuls and the general public has been drawn to the desperate and unconstitutional attempt by a faction within the Peoples Democratic Party to foist an illegal National Convention on the party in clear violation of its constitution and established democratic norms.

Let it be stated unequivocally: the Constitution of the PDP is clear, unambiguous, and binding on all members only a duly elected National Working Committee (NWC) has the constitutional authority to convene, approve, and conduct a National Convention.

This position is firmly grounded in the provisions of the PDP Constitution:

1. Section 31(3) clearly vests the power to summon and convene the National Convention in the appropriate constitutional organ of the party, which operates through the National Working Committee.

2. Section 29(2)(a) establishes the National Working Committee as the principal executive organ responsible for the day-to-day administration and decision-making of the party.

3. Section 47(1) affirms the supremacy of the party constitution, making it binding on all members and organs of the party without exception.

Flowing from these provisions, any gathering, meeting, or assembly convened outside this constitutional framework is illegal, null, void, and of no consequence, being ultra vires, null ab initio, and incapable of conferring any legal rights or obligations whatsoever.

The ongoing attempt by a faction reportedly aligned with the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, to organize a so-called convention through an imposed and illegitimate caretaker structure is nothing but a brazen assault on the rule of law, party supremacy, and internal democracy, and amounts to a clear case of constitutional subversion.

For the avoidance of doubt:
Individuals who have been suspended or expelled from the party lack the locus standi to act on its behalf.

Any caretaker arrangement not constitutionally backed by the elected organs of the party remains a nullity ab initio.
No faction, no matter how powerful, can override the supremacy of the party constitution.

Any purported action taken in furtherance of this illegality is void and liable to be set aside ex debito justitiae by any court of competent jurisdiction.

It is instructive that the Federal High Court and other competent courts have already taken judicial notice of these constitutional breaches by entertaining suits challenging the legality of the proposed convention. This alone is a clear warning that the entire process is fundamentally defective and cannot stand the test of law.

We therefore align firmly and unequivocally with the leadership direction and stabilizing efforts under Kabiru Turaki, whose commitment to constitutional order, due process, and party unity remains the only credible path forward for the PDP at this critical time.

The party cannot and must not be hijacked by individuals driven by personal ambition, vendetta politics, or external influence.

The survival of the PDP as a viable opposition platform depends on strict adherence to its constitution and respect for its legitimate structures.

We warn, in the strongest possible terms, that:

Any convention conducted outside the authority of a duly elected NWC will be resisted and rejected by loyal members of the party.

Any outcome from such an illegal exercise will be treated as void ab initio and will not be recognized within the party or before the Independent National Electoral Commission.

Those promoting this illegality are inviting avoidable chaos, multiplicity of suits, and grave political consequences for the PDP ahead of 2027.

This is not just about a convention this is about the soul, legality, and future of our great party.

I call on all genuine stakeholders to rise above factional manipulation and defend the constitution of the PDP with courage and clarity.

The rule of law must prevail. Fiat justitia ruat caelum. The constitution must stand. The PDP must not fall.

Prince Amb. (Dr.) Adedipe Dauda Ewenla
PDP Southwest Ex-Officio

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