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2023: Why Power Must Move to the South

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By Eric Elezuo

It is no longer news that the two major political parties in Nigeria; the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and the opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) have concluded plans to throw open to all comers their presidential ticket, jettisoning the much preferred and sustained zoning system.

While the opposition PDP has made it clear that every aspirant is free to contest for the party’s ticket, the APC is still using body language to express its decision. Many observers believe that theirs won’t be any different considering that aspirants across the geopolitical regions have signified their interest to run, and went ahead to purchased both the expression of interest and nomination forms without any form of hindrance or dissuasion from party hierarchy.

It must be recalled however, that over the months, politicians of southern extraction, especially governors from the region, have unanimously expressed their concern over who becomes the president of Nigeria come 2023, saying unequivocally that it must be a southerner, hinting that it would not be in the interest of the survival of Nigeria as a nation if another northerner succeeds President Muhammadu Buhari.

At two separate conferences held in Asaba and Lagos in 2021, the 17 southern governors unanimously agreed that power must move to the south in 2023 in the spirit of equity since the outgoing president, Buhari, is a northerner, who will serving out his complete eight years by May 29, 2022.

In the light of the situation, two serving governors of northern extraction, Governor Abdullahi Ganduje of Kano State, and his Borno State counterpart, Babagana Umara Zulum, have publicly lent their weights behind the country producing a southern president in 2023 with Zulum stressing that “the presidency should go to the South in 2023 because the unity of our country is very important” on more than one occasion

As a result of the governors’ resolution, many politicians of southern extraction have thrown their hats in the ring with impetus, hoping for the materialisation of the covenanted convention. It is believed that it is such mandate that emboldened the likes of Governor Nyesom Wike of Rivers and former governor Donald Duke of Cross River State to join the fray. Some others of southern origin who has joined the race across the two political parties or are noted to show signs of joining the fray are the Vice President, Prof. Yemi Osinbajo; APC National Leader, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu; Ekiti State Governor, and Chairman, Nigeria Governors’ Forum (NGF), Dr. Kayode Fayemi; former Ogun State governor, Senator Ibikunle Amosun; Minister of Transport, Rotimi Chibuike Amaechi, who made his much awaited declaration this Saturday and Ebonyi State governor, Dave Umahi. All from the ruling APC.

From the PDP however, are former chairman, Pfizer Nigeria Ltd. Mazi Sam Ohuabunwa; former governor of Anambra State, Mr. Peter Obi; former deputy governor of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Prof. Kingsley Moghalu; Minister of Science and Technology, Dr. Ogbonna Onu; former governor of Abia State, Dr. Orji Uzo Kalu; former Ebonyi State Governor, Anyim Pius Anyim, and veteran journalist and Chairman Ovation Media Group, Aare Dele Momodu.

However, much to the displeasure of the southern aspirants and the south as a whole, many political figures from the north rejected the call for southern president in 2023, and by inference, zoning by joining the race, even as the political parties danced to their tunes by throwing the contest open. These politicians include Governor of Kogi State, Yahaya Bello of Kogi State from the APC and others from the PDP including former Vice President, Alhaji Atiku Anubakar, former Senate President, Dr. Bukola Saraki, Governor of Sokoto State, and Alhaji Aminu Tambuwal. In addition, The Boss learnt that some key northern political figures have been strategising to ensure that the presidency remains in the north even as Buhari would have completed his eight years tenure in 2023.

But most political stakeholders have expressed untold fear of what may likely befell the nation if power fails to move south in 2023 including a sustained disunity, distrust and ethno-inclination that have characterised the body polity of the nation, especially in the last seven years that Buhari has held sway.

Observers have also noted that more secession agitations are likely to intensify, dwarfing what must have been the positions of Mazi Nnamdi Kanu led Indigenous Peoples of Biafra (IPOB) and Sunday Igboho’s Yoruba Nation if power fails to move to the south in 2023.

A northern president in 2023, it has been reasoned will somersault the political equilibrium of the totally diversed nation like Nigeria where power is shared among the fragmented parts – in other words the six geo-political zones, and in a more compressed form, the north and the south.

The inability of power to move south in 2023 may also call the question the much respected quota and federal character systems, which the country has practiced over the years to create a form of equity and equality. Here, the south has mortgaged its best brains to accommodate its educationally backward north. It is worthy of note that a child from Anambra State, who score 134/200 can be denied admission into any of the Unity Schools in preference of his counterpart from Jigawa, Kebbi, Sokoto or Borno state who scored a paltry 10.

An analyst told The Boss that “if the north feels that zoning cannot be used to share power among the north and south, then it should be prepared to toe the line of the survival of the fittest in the education sector where the quota system would be done away with. The same should be the case with the civil service where the federal character convention is also expected to dumped into the thrash can of history.”

But in a show of solidarity, some northern groups such as the Plateau Liberation Movement (PLM), have said that the South East should be allowed to produce the president in 2023 in order to sustain the indivisibility of the nation.

Most stakeholders have also argued that for the south to wrest power, they must show solidarity from within, and from there extend to the other region. To this end, a former National Chairman of the United Progressives Party (UPP), Chief Chekwas Okorie, maintains that southern governors, and by extention, southern politicians can achieve power shift by capitalising on the general mood of the nation and taking their resolve away from their various political parties.

To this end, the some south east presidential aspirants from the PDP have taken the bull by the horn to pull their resources together, and forge a common ground to demand that the party’s presidential ticket for 2023 be zoned to their area.

The aspirants who attended the meeting in Abuja on Saturday were Senator Anyim Pius Anyim, Mr Peter Obi, Mazi Sam Ohuabunwa and Dr Nwachukwu Anakwenze.

“We have agreed to work together as a team and that we will work together to ensure that a South Easterner emerges as PDP flag bearer. We intend to consult with other zones on this issue and it is based on fairness and equity.

“In doing so, it is important to note that we have always supported other zones and we now expect them to reciprocate.

“It is to our knowledge that more aspirants may have obtained forms under PDP and we hope they will join us later,” Anyim, who read the communique said

A source, who craved anonymity confided in The Boss that clandestine meetings are continually held in the North between some key members of the Buhari-led government and some prominent politicians of northern extraction, a situation the south has said would have a boomerang repercussion in the long run.

The quest of the North to retain power in 2023, according to source is not only residing with the APC as the Buhari administration is said to be making all plans to look elsewhere even among the opposition PDP. The bottomline is that power must remain in the north.

But with major groups in the south including Ohanaeze Ndi’gbo, Afenifere, and the Pan Niger Delta Forum (PANDEF) rooting for a shift in power to the south, it is a believed that a cataclysmic repercussion in the offing for Nigeria should the north made good its threat to curry power back to the north.

Time will surely tell.

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Just In: PDP Expels Wike, Anyanwu, Fayose, Others

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The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has expelled Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) Nyesom Wike, its suspended National Secretary, Samuel Anyanwu, and former Governor of Ekiti State, Ayo Fayose.

Their expulsion was announced on Saturday at the party’s National Convention in Ibadan, Oyo State.

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Discordant Tones As PDP Holds Convention in Ibadan

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By Eric Elezuo

These are not the best of times for the main opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) as two factions of the party are locked up in a war of superiority over the soul of the party even as the much talked about 2027 general elections draw dangerously close.

Slashed into two parts with Umar Damagum and Abdulrahman Mohammed holding each piece as chairman, the PDP continues to swim in troubled waters with no hope of reconciliation of in sight.

The brouhaha notwithstanding, the Demagum faction is poised to hold their advertised and promoted National Convention slated for Saturday and Sunday, November 15 and 16, 2025, in Ibadan, Oyo State. The location is strategic as it is the home state of one of leading governors in the party, Seyi Makinde.

On the other hand, the Mohammed/Anyanwu faction has announced a postponement of the convention, in spite of the arrangements. While political commentators believe that Makinde is behind the Demagum PDP, and Abuja Minister, Nyesom Wike is behind the Mohammed/Anyanwu faction, it has been said the two party godfathers fell out with each other after their infamous G-5 governors romance in 2023.

The hosting of the Ibadan convention is coming on the heels of consistent and conflicting court judgments for and against the convention depending on who filed the case.

On Friday, the Federal High Court in Abuja, issued what it termed a ‘final’ order stopping the the PDP from proceeding with its 2025 national convention in Ibadan where new national officers are to be elected for the party. The election, ordinarily would have ended the long drawn leadership crisis that has bedeviled the party since the 2023, leading to their loss of the presidential election. Observers have said that since the entire party hierarchy and members are not in support of the convention owing to one reason or another, it becomes obvious that a sort of compromise is involved.

Meanwhile, the Demagum faction has already accused the ruling APC of being the brain behind the crises including the constantly flying about court injunctions restricting the planned convention.

Delivering his judgment on Friday, in a suit filed by former Jigawa State governor Sule Lamido, who had asked the court to bar the PDP from going ahead with the convention until it complies with its constitution and guidelines, Justice Peter Lifu ordered that the Ibadan convention must be put on hold until Mr Lamido is allowed to purchase the nomination form for the office of national chairman and campaign for his aspiration

He also prohibited the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) from supervising, monitoring or aiding the convention until Mr Lamido is allowed to participate.

The judge held that the PDP is under a strict obligation to adhere to its own rules and regulations by giving eligible members the opportunity to pursue their individual aspirations. He said it was wrong of the party to deny Mr Lamido the opportunity to purchase the nomination form for the national chairmanship.

He stated that the PDP was in clear breach of its constitution and guidelines by denying some members access to nomination forms for elective offices at the convention.

In an instant counter move, an Ibadan Federal High Court, ruled that the convention should continue as planned, asking the INEC provide monitoring and other facilities required for the smooth conduct of the convention.

It would be recalled that another judge of the same Federal High Court, Abuja, James Omotosho, had on 31 October restrained INEC from recognising the outcome of the forthcoming PDP convention. He issued the order while delivering judgement in a different suit challenging the legality of the convention.

The suit was filed by three aggrieved members of the party: Austin Nwachukwu (Imo PDP chairman), Amah Nnanna (Abia PDP chairman) and Turnah George (PDP secretary, South-South).

Mr Omotosho said the PDP failed to comply with relevant conditions and laws for holding the convention. He noted that evidence from the electoral umpire and some respondents showed that congresses were not held in some states, in breach of the law.

He also held that notices and correspondences signed by the PDP national chairman without the national secretary violated the law and were therefore null and void.

In addition, the court found that the PDP failed to issue the mandatory 21 days’ notice of meetings and congresses to enable INEC to monitor them. The judge said the party’s failure to comply with the law jeopardised the convention and advised it to take the necessary steps before proceeding with elections.

Mr Lifu had also on 11 November issued an interim injunction restraining the PDP from holding the convention and barring INEC from supervising, monitoring or recognising the outcome of the election of national officers.

He based the restriction on the PDP’s refusal and failure to comply with relevant conditions and laws for conducting conventions. He said evidence from Mr Lamido showed that the timetable for the convention was not published for members as required by law.

The judge said the balance of convenience favoured Mr Lamido because he would suffer more if unlawfully excluded from the convention. He noted that Mr Lamido undertook to pay damages to the PDP if his suit was found frivolous, to ensure remedy.

The judge added that due process must be strictly followed, warning that failure to do so would endanger democracy. He cited section 6 of the 1999 Constitution, saying courts must dispense justice without fear or favour. He warned that anarchy would prevail whenever courts abdicate their constitutionally assigned functions.

But the decisions of the Federal High Court in Abuja rub against another order of the Oyo State High Court in Ibadan, asking the PDP to proceed with the convention as planned.

The judge, A. L. Akintola, issued the interim order on 3 November following an ex-parte application filed by Folahan Adelabi.

The judge held that the claimant successfully demonstrated the need for urgent judicial intervention in the PDP matter.

“The court finds merit in the claimant’s motion ex-parte. The same succeeds and is hereby ordered as prayed,” the judge ruled.

Mr Adelabi filed the application, joining as respondents the PDP, its Acting National Chairman, Umar Damagum; Governor Umaru Fintiri (representing the National Convention Organising Committee); and INEC.

The claimant had urged the court to restrain the defendants from truncating, frustrating, or disrupting the timetable, guidelines, and schedule of activities leading to the convention.

Granting the prayer, the court issued a raft of interim orders restraining any interference with the PDP’s timetable and schedule of activities and compelling the defendants to hold the national convention as fixed.

Presently, arrangements have been concluded for the convention to hold just as all loyalists of the Makinde and Demagum have arrived Ibadan. Though loyalists of the Wike and Anyanwu faction including Governor Sim Fubara of Rivers State, have boycotted the convention.

While the convention goes on amid discordant tones, the ball rests on the court of the INEC to recognize the outcome or not. But whichever way one looks at it, this may trigger the beginning of a longer legal tussle.

Additional information: Premium Times

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Tinubu Seeks Transfer of Jailed Ekweremadu Back to Nigeria

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President Bola Tinubu has dispatched a strong delegation to London to address the situation of Ike Ekweremadu, a former Deputy Senate President, who has been imprisoned in the UK since March 2023.

The delegation includes the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Yusuf Tuggar, and the Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Prince Lateef Fagbemi.

The team arrived in London on Monday and held discussions with officials from the UK’s Ministry of Justice.

Alkasim Abdulkadir, spokesperson for Tuggar, said on Tuesday that the presidential delegation was in London to engage with UK authorities to consider the possibility of Ekweremadu serving the remainder of his prison sentence in Nigeria.

The London Metropolitan Police detained the Ekweremadus in June 2022 after a man was deceitfully presented to a private renal unit at Royal Free Hospital in London as a relative of their daughter Sonia, in what turned out to be a failed attempt to convince medical professionals to perform an £80,000 transplant.

The 21-year-old man, who had allegedly been promised employment in the UK, reported the incident to the police in May of that year, saying that he had been brought to the country for an organ transplant.

In March 2023, the former presiding officer of Nigeria’s Senate was convicted of organ trafficking by a UK court. Beatrice, his wife, and Obinna Obeta, a doctor connected to the case, were also found guilty.

This verdict marked the first of its kind under the UK Modern Slavery Act.

On May 5, 2023, Ekweremadu received a nine-year and eight-month prison sentence, while his wife was sentenced to four years and six months, and Obeta was given a ten-year prison sentence.

In his ruling, Judge Jeremy Johnson determined that Beatrice should serve half of her sentence in custody and be supervised for the remainder. However, she was released from prison in January and has since returned to Nigeria.

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